Public evidence record

Adelius

0x3e5e0f176663e11d3a156205fde9f9a73069b4af

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.2%605 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.1%$314,486 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.39%112 pre-event fills

Settlement record

475-106-6Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−17.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 605 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.3% to -0.1%

605 closed positions · 891 taker fills · $314,486 deployed

Typical position $202 (median) · closing line value measured over 112 pre-event fills · 17% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis382 closed303–66-2.8%
Soccer120 closed94–24-5.9%
Esports98 closed75–14–6-5.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-24	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Quintessence	lost	26¢ · +279	$48	−48
2026-10-23	Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Hacha Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Playoffsesports · moneyline	Isurus	push	70¢ · -233	$164	−50
2026-10-21	Combo: Over — Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 0.5 + Over — FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 0.5 + Over — FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5soccer · combo	—	won	60¢ · -153	$100	−18