Public evidence record

Yanis2603

0x3e69375f65f77f2923b5fa3b1f7c9e1367b77a30

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.5%5,898 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.2%$588,734 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.75%515 pre-event fills

Settlement record

4666-335-10Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−72.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 5,898 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -2.0% to -0.9%

5,898 closed positions · 11,144 taker fills · $588,734 deployed

Typical position $90 (median) · closing line value measured over 515 pre-event fills · 8% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

3 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$183

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes

entry 55¢ · -121now 33¢ · +200−21.4 pts

Open

value$82

Kraken vs. Flames

Flames

entry 99¢now 100¢+1.0 pts

Open

value$60

Rockets vs. Mavericks

Mavericks

entry 96¢ · -2400now 100¢+4.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis3,405 closed2714–185–2-1.5%
Esports1,248 closed959–72–4-2.1%
Soccer539 closed446–36-3.2%
Basketball173 closed143–6-2.4%
multi sport167 closed141–18–2-12.7%
Baseball147 closed92–8-4.7%
Football96 closed73–5–2-5.5%
Hockey85 closed68–4-3.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 85 sports · 15 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETNon-sports	Up	won	99¢ · -9900	$211	+2
2026-11-06	Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathitennis · moneyline	Robin Montgomery	won	99¢ · -8991	$109	+1
2026-11-06	Luanda: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Gina Feisteltennis · moneyline	Gina Feistel	won	98¢ · -4662	$5	+0
2026-11-06	Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Polina Kudermetova