Public evidence record

Alitoroghi

0x3f42857d9d08ae2113ef67b0d0ef7453e2126fcb

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-28.0%230 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-14.1%$12,591 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.22%30 pre-event fills

Settlement record

26-184Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−58.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 230 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -39.3% to -16.8%

230 closed positions · 448 taker fills · $12,591 deployed

Typical position $35 (median) · closing line value measured over 30 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball150 closed21–116-21.4%
Soccer57 closed5–49-16.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-19	Combo: Philadelphia Phillies — Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets + Tampa Bay Rays — Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays + Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · combo	—	lost	11¢ · +779	$100	−100
2026-09-19	Combo: New York Mets — Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets + Texas Rangers — Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers + Detroit Tigers — Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · combo	—	won	11¢ · +794	$25	+189
2026-09-19	Combo: Minnesota Twins — Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels + Washington Nationals — Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals + New York Yankees — New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks + Houston Astros — Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · combo	—	lost	6¢ · +1463	$15	−15