Public evidence record

Dansoulette

0x4214f193958c2c6fbba496b63ae4b06234a84245

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.3%284 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.3%$34,429 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.82%166 pre-event fills

Settlement record

143-109Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−18.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 284 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.6% to +1.0%

284 closed positions · 613 taker fills · $34,429 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 166 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball144 closed66–60-6.8%
Tennis62 closed33–24-5.4%
Soccer59 closed32–20-5.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	49¢ · +104	$205	—
2026-09-20	New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline	New York Yankees	lost	60¢ · -150	$204	−35
2026-09-20	Arkansas State vs. TCU · Spread TCU (-21.5)football · spreads	Arkansas State	lost	60¢ · -150	$50	+17
2026-09-19	New Mexico vs. Oklahoma · Spread Oklahoma (-24.5)football · spreads	New Mexico	won	60¢ · -150