Public evidence record

Dansoulette

0x4214f193958c2c6fbba496b63ae4b06234a84245

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.9%371 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-7.2%$48,978 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.85%283 pre-event fills

Settlement record

182-144Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−35.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 371 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.8% to -0.1%

371 closed positions · 835 taker fills · $48,978 deployed

Typical position $69 (median) · closing line value measured over 283 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball170 closed78–68-6.5%
Soccer74 closed38–27-6.0%
Tennis65 closed33–26-6.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Dijon Football Côte d'Or vs. Red Star FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score	Yes	lost	62¢ · -163	$469	−454
2026-11-06	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	50¢ · -100	$388	—
2026-11-06	Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score	Yes	won	52¢ · -108	$102	+90
2026-11-06	Bruins vs. Penguinshockey · moneyline	Penguins	lost	54¢ · -117