Public evidence record

Hardbotx

0x4232328390d104ce3907bdcaea938a87171ed505

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-8.7%801 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.4%$245,240 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.47%49 pre-event fills

Settlement record

165-432Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−71.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 801 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -15.5% to -2.0%

801 closed positions · 1,668 taker fills · $245,240 deployed

Typical position $187 (median) · closing line value measured over 49 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis538 closed106–310-7.4%
Esports122 closed27–57-11.1%
Baseball75 closed21–30-3.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Combo: Valentina Ryser — W35 Liberec: Valentina Ryser vs Elena Milovanovic + Denisa Zoldakova — W35 Liberec: Weronika Ewald vs Denisa Zoldakova + Caijsa Wilda Hennemann — W50 Heraklion: Raluca Georgiana Serban vs Caijsa Wilda Hennemanntennis · combo	—	lost	27¢ · +271	$11	−11
2026-11-06	M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinskitennis · moneyline	Marcel Zielinski	lost	41¢ · +144	$54	−54
2026-11-04	W15 Szabolcsveresmart: Tamara Sramkova vs Viktoria Vargatennis · moneyline	Tamara Sramkova	lost	21¢ · +368	$105	−53