Public evidence record

0x43a8…e9d9

0x43a81792e665746be75ec0458996b0c0915be9d9

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-12.5%385 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-10.7%$25,851 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.18%417 pre-event fills

Settlement record

151-225-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−71.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 385 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -21.4% to -3.7%

385 closed positions · 519 taker fills · $25,851 deployed

Typical position $54 (median) · closing line value measured over 417 pre-event fills · 12% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Football170 closed77–88-4.9%
Soccer118 closed35–83-15.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraztennis · moneyline	Carlos Alcaraz	won	74¢ · -285	$285	+95
2026-11-04	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	60¢ · -150	$74	—
2026-11-03	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	11¢ · +809	$20	—
2026-11-03	Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	23¢ · +335