Public evidence record

emoney

0x4483c26cdf27496cf32fb244972fca3f9ee5c565

Not ranked. market maker (30% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-10.1%1,169 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-9.1%$368,729 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.53%809 pre-event fills

Settlement record

485-575-5Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−117.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,169 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -15.0% to -5.2%

1,169 closed positions · 1,968 taker fills · $368,729 deployed

Typical position $300 (median) · closing line value measured over 809 pre-event fills · 30% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

8 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$594

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No

entry 53¢ · -111now 74¢ · -278+21.0 pts

Open

value$627

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes

entry 58¢ · -140now 32¢ · +217−26.8 pts

Open

value$297

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

No

entry 53¢ · -113now 32¢ · +217−21.6 pts

Open

value$12

Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Yes

entry 37¢ · +168now 1¢−36.8 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball369 closed163–180-6.1%
Basketball266 closed102–117–1-7.4%
Tennis241 closed95–138–4-12.5%
Football150 closed64–74-9.2%
Soccer96 closed44–40-8.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-05	Lakers vs. Kings · Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5basketball · points	Yes	won	49¢ · +104	$100	+105
2026-11-04	Combo: Arthur Fils — Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac + Frances Tiafoe — Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe + Alexander Zverev — Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti + Taylor Fritz — Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritztennis · combo	—	lost	21¢ · +386	$100	−100
2026-11-04	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Non-sports	No	lost	53¢ · -113	$509	—