Public evidence record

Bmellow

0x45d1bb68886177743cbaa446d0f3448c2ebc83da

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 15, 2026

Source sync: Oct 14, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.5%425 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.6%$130,825 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.29%421 pre-event fills

Settlement record

195-221Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−59.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 425 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.6% to +4.7%

425 closed positions · 528 taker fills · $130,825 deployed

Typical position $304 (median) · closing line value measured over 421 pre-event fills · 5% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball160 closed76–82-1.8%
Soccer133 closed51–78-9.8%
Football68 closed31–37-7.0%
Basketball53 closed31–20+1.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-13	Spread: Bills (-1.5)football · spreads	Bills	won	37¢ · +170	$102	+168
2026-10-13	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 56.5football · totals	Under	lost	54¢ · -117	$253	−253
2026-10-12	Spread: Falcons (-3.5)football · spreads	Falcons	lost	48¢ · +108	$203	−203
2026-10-11	Spread: Broncos (-3.5)football · spreads	Broncos	won	49¢ · +104	$203	+205