Public evidence record

Mraka

0x47c6507c4b1dd15633b191ebe9fc7c4e67f3be32

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-10.1%537 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-8.1%$295,345 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.10%65 pre-event fills

Settlement record

187-284Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−62.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 537 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -17.3% to -3.0%

537 closed positions · 1,034 taker fills · $295,345 deployed

Typical position $348 (median) · closing line value measured over 65 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis232 closed81–118-9.5%
Baseball145 closed51–73-4.1%
Basketball100 closed35–55-8.9%
Soccer52 closed16–34-10.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-03	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5soccer · totals	Over	lost	45¢ · +122	$276	−276
2026-11-03	Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Geatennis · moneyline	Arthur Gea	lost	58¢ · -141	$387	−387
2026-11-03	Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Leheckatennis · moneyline	Jiri Lehecka	lost	55¢ · -122	$385	−385
2026-11-03	Rolex Paris Masters: Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettinitennis · moneyline	Brandon Nakashima	lost