Public evidence record

Mraka

0x47c6507c4b1dd15633b191ebe9fc7c4e67f3be32

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-8.4%461 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.7%$257,469 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.88%39 pre-event fills

Settlement record

162-237Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−33.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 461 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -16.0% to -0.8%

461 closed positions · 911 taker fills · $257,469 deployed

Typical position $354 (median) · closing line value measured over 39 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$2

St. Tropez: Grigor Dimitrov vs Edas Butvilas

Grigor Dimitrov

entry 41¢ · +144now 0¢−40.9 pts

Open

value$2638

Buenos Aires 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio Aboian

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

entry 56¢ · -127now 56¢ · -125−0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis161 closed59–73-6.0%
Baseball145 closed51–73-4.0%
Basketball100 closed35–55-8.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-16	MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb · Spread GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)soccer · spreads	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	lost	29¢ · +245	$114	−114
2026-09-12	Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	21¢ · +376	$117	—
2026-09-07	US Open WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Emma Navarrotennis · moneyline	Anna Kalinskaya	lost	40¢ · +150	$236	−236
2026-09-05	US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo