Public evidence record

Denisloltnt

0x4ab86a3f7168e3de10a6b6daa761ee3e1c51c5c3

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-9.1%287 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.0%$29,743 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-3.33%90 pre-event fills

Settlement record

114-140-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−22.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 287 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -16.8% to -1.5%

287 closed positions · 605 taker fills · $29,743 deployed

Typical position $98 (median) · closing line value measured over 90 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$89

Cali: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno

Gonzalo Bueno

entry 51¢ · -106now 46¢ · +117−5.4 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball88 closed36–40-5.3%
Tennis64 closed29–31–1-9.6%
Soccer54 closed21–30-11.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-04	Buffalo vs. Miami (OH): O/U 45.5football · totals	Under	lost	52¢ · -110	$284	−280
2026-11-03	Taipei: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Omar Jasikatennis · moneyline	Yu-Hsiou Hsu	lost	59¢ · -142	$153	−153
2026-11-03	Heat vs. Lakersbasketball · moneyline	Heat	lost	48¢ · +108	$51	−25
2026-11-03	Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 249.5basketball · totals	Under	lost	41¢ · +146	$103