Public evidence record

borderx

0x4add0b25c30d0b7b6e294b69b0d2da27ebcc8f36

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.7%2,972 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.4%$1,302,643 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.18%817 pre-event fills

Settlement record

2002-519-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−39.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,972 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.6% to -2.9%

2,972 closed positions · 9,796 taker fills · $1,302,643 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 817 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball1,864 closed1267–234-4.9%
Baseball762 closed494–199–1-4.9%
Soccer142 closed87–42–1-5.8%
Hockey104 closed78–21-1.7%
Tennis53 closed43–10-4.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-20	Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbasketball · moneyline	Minnesota Lynx	won	58¢ · -138	$5	+4
2026-08-20	Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbasketball · moneyline	Washington Mystics	won	99¢ · -7043	$30	+0
2026-08-20	Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline	Seattle Mariners	won	92¢ · -1150	$10	+1
2026-08-20	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline	Tampa Bay Rays	won	89¢ · -793