Public evidence record

windyww

0x4ba80baf8b477b688962c0ca4b91e8569170f50b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.1%1,499 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.2%$229,154 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.41%193 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1045-300-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−33.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,499 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.2% to -3.9%

1,499 closed positions · 4,565 taker fills · $229,154 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 193 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis901 closed632–172–1-5.7%
Baseball269 closed197–54-6.0%
Basketball169 closed113–32-4.8%
Soccer149 closed96–39-7.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Plovdiv 4: Benjamin Hassan vs Pol Martin Tiffontennis · moneyline	Pol Martin Tiffon	won	96¢ · -2400	$100	+4
2026-09-21	Tolentino: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaztennis · moneyline	Leyre Romero Gormaz	exited	98¢ · -4900	$100	+2
2026-09-21	Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroskatennis · moneyline	Kaitlin Quevedo	won	79¢ · -367	$404	+27
2026-09-21	St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Francesco Maestrelli