Public evidence record

windyww

0x4ba80baf8b477b688962c0ca4b91e8569170f50b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.7%2,369 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.8%$361,761 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.99%305 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1675-427-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−40.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,369 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.3% to -3.1%

2,369 closed positions · 7,331 taker fills · $361,761 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 305 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$102

76ers vs. Hornets

76ers

entry 64¢ · -178now 66¢ · -190+1.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis1,362 closed971–239–2-4.4%
Soccer363 closed251–68-4.7%
Baseball327 closed243–60-5.6%
Basketball296 closed197–55-5.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladzetennis · moneyline	Alexandra Shubladze	won	74¢ · -291	$304	+29
2026-11-06	Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrejtennis · moneyline	Coleman Wong	won	100¢ · -69405	$700	+0
2026-11-06	SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 8.5soccer · totals	Under	won	95¢ · -1752	$100	+5
2026-11-05	Kuching City FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5