Public evidence record

Heaterrr

0x4c104e61febf3944fcfc05ee94551b815ffdb6a4

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-8.0%931 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.7%$502,492 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-3.07%116 pre-event fills

Settlement record

318-416Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−48.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 931 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.2% to -2.7%

931 closed positions · 1,745 taker fills · $502,492 deployed

Typical position $483 (median) · closing line value measured over 116 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis427 closed151–193-8.9%
Baseball259 closed88–125-9.1%
Football83 closed27–32-4.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-12	Combo: Sara Bejlek — Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek + Xinyu Wang — Wuhan Tennis Open: Xiyu Wang vs Xinyu Wangtennis · combo	—	lost	27¢ · +274	$620	−620
2026-10-12	Combo: No — Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal + No — Wuhan Tennis Open: Clara Tauson vs Marie Bouzkovatennis · combo	—	exited	59¢ · -146	$375	+243
2026-10-12	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandeztennis · moneyline	Ekaterina Alexandrova	lost	47¢ · +111	$497	−497
2026-10-12	Combo: Yes — Spread: Falcons (-2.5) + No — Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersmulti sport · combo