Public evidence record

leoric064

0x4c9b5a77f6bd94630b7d8358412f5868a5fae74a

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.3%1,701 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.5%$89,054 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.00%1,317 pre-event fills

Settlement record

717-955-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−68.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,701 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.4% to +0.8%

1,701 closed positions · 3,389 taker fills · $89,054 deployed

Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,317 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Hockey887 closed368–504-4.5%
Soccer303 closed144–154-4.3%
Basketball298 closed118–174–1-7.5%
Baseball127 closed51–75+2.2%
Football50 closed21–28-6.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.