Public evidence record

marktips

0x4cb32d03980b2219db46c4c0b154faa4dc3c9e69

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 4, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.5%116 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.5%$6,387 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.20%101 pre-event fills

Settlement record

64-52Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−9.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 116 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -14.1% to +7.1%

116 closed positions · 131 taker fills · $6,387 deployed

Typical position $41 (median) · closing line value measured over 101 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

3 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$81

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)

Team Vitality

entry 48¢ · +108now 51¢ · -102+2.5 pts

Open

value$1

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes

entry 57¢ · -135now 82¢ · -457+24.7 pts

Open

value$189

Will a team from Americas win VALORANT Champions 2026?

Yes

entry 56¢ · -127now 68¢ · -213+12.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports116 closed64–52-3.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-03	Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Karmine Corp	lost	55¢ · -122	$80	−80
2026-10-03	Combo: Team WE — LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage + Natus Vincere — LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stageesports · combo	—	lost	65¢ · -182	$79	−79
2026-10-02	LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsesports · moneyline	FURIA Esports	won	58¢ · -138	$80	+55