Public evidence record

kmbappe

0x4d8c3cd363b4a928ea00fc95d162210a973df777

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.3%158 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.6%$26,127 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.05%821 pre-event fills

Settlement record

144-9Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−3.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 158 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.1% to -0.5%

158 closed positions · 1,089 taker fills · $26,127 deployed

Typical position $133 (median) · closing line value measured over 821 pre-event fills · 5% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$101

Spread: AD Cali (-2.5)

Independiente Santa Fe

entry 98¢ · -6111now 98¢ · -5028−0.3 pts

Open

value$99

Spread: América de Cali (-2.5)

Águilas Doradas Rionegro

entry 92¢ · -1148now 90¢ · -852−2.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer140 closed130–7-3.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Spread: Querétaro FC (-2.5)soccer · spreads	Club León FC	won	95¢ · -1900	$92	+4
2026-09-20	CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Tigre · Spread CA Vélez Sarsfield (-2.5)soccer · spreads	CA Tigre	won	95¢ · -1900	$91	+5
2026-09-20	Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)soccer · spreads	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	won	95¢ · -1900	$175	+9
2026-09-20	Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)soccer · spreads	Atalanta BC	won	85¢ · -567