Public evidence record

skytrader123

0x4dd25d80bec83bc40b6406acc5af78fc26099014

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 15, 2026

Source sync: Oct 14, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.2%612 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.0%$217,463 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.85%298 pre-event fills

Settlement record

292-219-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−41.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 612 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.4% to +1.1%

612 closed positions · 1,346 taker fills · $217,463 deployed

Typical position $203 (median) · closing line value measured over 298 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$149

Lisbon: Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge

Matilde Jorge

entry 58¢ · -139now 87¢ · -641+28.3 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball328 closed149–112-7.8%
Tennis176 closed89–68–3-3.4%
Soccer108 closed54–39-0.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-14	Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbasketball · moneyline	Trail Blazers	won	85¢ · -567	$60	+10
2026-10-14	Pacers vs. Thunderbasketball · moneyline	Thunder	won	48¢ · +108	$10	+11
2026-10-14	Warriors vs. Lakersbasketball · moneyline	Lakers	lost	44¢ · +127	$51	−51
2026-10-13	Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteirotennis · moneyline