Public evidence record

cerp

0x4e5acbc9f613bf09cb10e7613897ea1c60b89ef7

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-9.0%153 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.2%$9,676 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.57%142 pre-event fills

Settlement record

53-79-13Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−20.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 153 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -19.7% to +1.6%

153 closed positions · 201 taker fills · $9,676 deployed

Typical position $42 (median) · closing line value measured over 142 pre-event fills · 9% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$92

Dota 2: YBN Team vs Stray Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B

Stray Team

entry 62¢ · -163now 63¢ · -167+0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports152 closed53–79–12-9.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 93 sports · 7 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Counter-Strike: Azuolas vs Spirit Academy - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	Azuolas	lost	25¢ · +300	$22	−22
2026-09-21	Counter-Strike: Azuolas vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stageesports · moneyline	Azuolas	lost	20¢ · +400	$30	−30
2026-09-20	Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline	Aurora	lost	43¢ · +133	$77	−77
2026-09-20