Public evidence record

0x4f64…9ca2

0x4f640f5e3cd7efff96b2aad28fe6be3aac4f9ca2

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-29.5%658 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-14.8%$153,312 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample22 pre-event fills

Settlement record

108-385-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−127.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 658 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -36.1% to -22.9%

658 closed positions · 1,073 taker fills · $153,312 deployed

Typical position $150 (median) · closing line value measured over 22 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis278 closed51–139–1-19.9%
Soccer140 closed14–105-20.3%
Baseball96 closed15–67-22.6%
Esports83 closed25–36–2-10.8%
multi sport61 closed3–38-12.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 89 sports · 11 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Combo: Laura Samson — Tolentino: Laura Samson vs Noemi Basiletti + Yes — Will Bogota FC win on 2026-09-21?multi sport · combo	—	lost	42¢ · +140	$75	−75
2026-09-21	Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-09-21?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	68¢ · -217	$53	—
2026-09-21	Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	41¢ · +144	$95	—
2026-09-20	Combo: Yes — Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will CD Leganés win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?