Public evidence record

0x4f64…9ca2

0x4f640f5e3cd7efff96b2aad28fe6be3aac4f9ca2

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-27.9%938 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-13.3%$218,036 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample23 pre-event fills

Settlement record

130-512-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−151.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 938 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -33.8% to -22.0%

938 closed positions · 1,519 taker fills · $218,036 deployed

Typical position $150 (median) · closing line value measured over 23 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis483 closed65–229–1-18.4%
Soccer191 closed20–126-22.7%
Baseball112 closed17–78-24.6%
Esports85 closed25–36–2-10.8%
multi sport66 closed3–43-30.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-11	Combo: Brandon Nakashima — Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima + Alexander Zverev — Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys + Svyatoslav Gulin — Catania: Tilen Kovac vs Svyatoslav Gulin + Matej Dodig — Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Matej Dodigtennis · combo	—	lost	37¢ · +170	$27	−27
2026-10-11	Combo: Brandon Nakashima — Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima + Florian Broska — Maia: Florian Broska vs Adrian Oetzbach + Alexander Zverev — Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys + Elmer Moeller — Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Matej Dodigtennis · combo	—	exited	41¢ · +146	$1	−0
2026-10-10	Combo: Yes — Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5 + Yes — Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 5.5 Corners + Yes — Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?soccer · combo