Public evidence record

amiramirel

0x50cc8708aff3791f2d6125645c82bda532baa534

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-15.0%646 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.5%$141,873 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.37%774 pre-event fills

Settlement record

261-359-7Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−72.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 646 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -21.5% to -8.5%

646 closed positions · 1,130 taker fills · $141,873 deployed

Typical position $153 (median) · closing line value measured over 774 pre-event fills · 18% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer188 closed84–102-12.2%
Hockey144 closed64–76-6.5%
Baseball108 closed35–67–1-11.4%
Tennis92 closed45–43–2-7.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Combo: Warriors — Heat vs. Warriors + Avalanche — Predators vs. Avalanchemulti sport · combo	—	lost	38¢ · +163	$250	−250
2026-11-06	Combo: Oilers — Ducks vs. Oilers + Devils — Blues vs. Devilshockey · combo	—	lost	40¢ · +148	$1,300	−1,300
2026-11-06	Combo: Hurricanes — Hurricanes vs. Islanders + Stars — Stars vs. Blue Jackets + Lightning — Blackhawks vs. Lightning + Bruins — Bruins vs. Penguinshockey · combo	—	lost	14¢ · +599	$150	−150
2026-11-05