Public evidence record

bigfatchud5555

0x5102078b37376025b1529516409c56f7a5ff7b08

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 3, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.9%316 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.2%$131,768 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+1.40%110 pre-event fills

Settlement record

126-169-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−24.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 316 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -16.2% to +2.5%

316 closed positions · 442 taker fills · $131,768 deployed

Typical position $130 (median) · closing line value measured over 110 pre-event fills · 23% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Football253 closed104–132–4-6.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-03	West Virginia vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5football · totals	Under	lost	42¢ · +138	$1,400	−1,400
2026-10-03	Spread: Pittsburgh (-2.5)football · spreads	Pittsburgh	lost	32¢ · +212	$160	−160
2026-10-03	Spread: Pittsburgh (-1.5)football · spreads	Pittsburgh	won	54¢ · -117	$138	+115
2026-10-02	Belgium vs. Türkiye: Belgium O/U 3.5soccer · soccer team totals	Over	lost	17¢ · +488