Public evidence record

zzqq35

0x51089c0c128100e6c9210759fd932aecf76d29cb

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.3%1,255 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.9%$738,355 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.64%1,042 pre-event fills

Settlement record

656-543-9Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−46.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,255 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.9% to +1.3%

1,255 closed positions · 2,362 taker fills · $738,355 deployed

Typical position $387 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,042 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

6 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$5

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Yes

entry 23¢ · +335now 1¢−22.4 pts

Open

value$125

Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes

entry 1¢now 1¢ · +7900+0.3 pts

Open

value$259

Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes

entry 13¢ · +651now 12¢ · +770−1.8 pts

Open

value$298

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes

entry 14¢ · +635now 14¢ · +641−0.1 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer495 closed259–216-3.1%
Tennis356 closed183–155–7-7.1%
MMA246 closed131–104–1-2.6%
Esports82 closed41–37–1-4.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score	Yes	won	56¢ · -127	$307	+229
2026-09-20	Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5soccer · first half totals	Over	lost	51¢ · -104	$359	−359
2026-09-20	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	34¢ · +194	$1	—
2026-09-20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?