Public evidence record

0x5120…b26b

0x5120ede0a33d17f5e023765ae67a23b9e0d6b26b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-10.2%312 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-10.9%$32,460 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.73%98 pre-event fills

Settlement record

139-138-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−43.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 312 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -17.5% to -2.8%

312 closed positions · 944 taker fills · $32,460 deployed

Typical position $41 (median) · closing line value measured over 98 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis120 closed58–49–1-6.2%
Esports115 closed45–57-8.9%
Baseball68 closed31–30-10.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Ankara: Aysegul Mert vs Isabella Shinikovatennis · moneyline	Aysegul Mert	won	45¢ · +125	$26	+30
2026-09-21	Tolentino: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaztennis · moneyline	Leyre Romero Gormaz	won	60¢ · -151	$25	+15
2026-09-16	Szczecin: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Kilian Feldbauschtennis · moneyline	Kilian Feldbausch	lost	76¢ · -317	$6	−6
2026-09-15	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?