Public evidence record

0x5120…b26b

0x5120ede0a33d17f5e023765ae67a23b9e0d6b26b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-13.6%805 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-11.2%$84,462 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.91%184 pre-event fills

Settlement record

319-380-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−106.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 805 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -18.6% to -8.6%

805 closed positions · 2,366 taker fills · $84,462 deployed

Typical position $49 (median) · closing line value measured over 184 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis430 closed164–212–1-14.2%
Esports269 closed109–125-9.4%
Baseball81 closed34–36–1-11.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linettetennis · moneyline	Magda Linette	won	40¢ · +153	$55	−7
2026-11-06	Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linettetennis · moneyline	Mai Hontama	exited	88¢ · -739	$357	−322
2026-11-06	Dota 2: angry birds vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	PuckChamp	lost	23¢ · +335	$26	−19
2026-11-05	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffsesports · moneyline	Yellow Submarine	lost