Public evidence record

PFL27

0x528ff0b0cc2c8228721b30828ea574aba54e2101

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.6%2,047 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.3%$1,281,783 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.00%284 pre-event fills

Settlement record

851-819-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−88.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,047 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.1% to -2.2%

2,047 closed positions · 5,408 taker fills · $1,281,783 deployed

Typical position $410 (median) · closing line value measured over 284 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$198

Spread: Packers (-2.5)

Packers

entry 64¢ · -178now 64¢ · -174−0.5 pts

Open

value$267

Buenos Aires 2: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Alex Barrena

Alex Barrena

entry 67¢ · -201now 81¢ · -426+14.2 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis1,652 closed660–660–2-5.9%
Hockey179 closed78–75-1.1%
Baseball71 closed36–31-7.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-23	San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomeztennis · moneyline	Federico Agustin Gomez	won	88¢ · -733	$1,257	+161
2026-09-23	San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomeztennis · moneyline	Trevor Svajda	lost	47¢ · +113	$411	−313
2026-09-23	Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristictennis · moneyline	Mia Ristic	won	65¢ · -186	$1,119	+573
2026-09-23	San Diego 2: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Andres Andrade