Public evidence record

0x52de…8f92

0x52de9949a190626ccd055057333534e0ecb38f92

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-8.1%196 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.6%$22,624 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample21 pre-event fills

Settlement record

80-45Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−21.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 196 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -15.7% to -0.5%

196 closed positions · 301 taker fills · $22,624 deployed

Typical position $101 (median) · closing line value measured over 21 pre-event fills · 7% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball161 closed75–15-3.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-03	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Non-sports	Yes	lost	24¢ · +317	$103	—
2026-10-29	Spread: Packers (-4.5)football · spreads	Panthers	lost	55¢ · -122	$76	−76
2026-10-24	Combo: Alexander Volkanovski — UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) + Petr Yan — UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) + Aaron Pico — UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)mma · combo	—	won	18¢ · +470	$50	+224