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Public evidence record
0x5323b489b8998c209e055121031339ef6304326a
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-11.0%518 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-10.7%$50,800 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.06%96 pre-event fillsSettlement record
206-288-2Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−77.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 518 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -18.3% to -3.8%
518 closed positions · 646 taker fills · $50,800 deployed
Typical position $102 (median) · closing line value measured over 96 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 51 sports · 49 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Movistar KOI | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $66 | −66 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 54¢ · -117 | $95 | −92 |
| 2026-09-20 | Norwich City FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $92 | −92 |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Energie Cottbus vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5 |
| Under |
| won |
| 52¢ · -108 |
| $84 |
| +72 |
| 2026-09-20 | Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-20 | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 52¢ · -109 | $77 | −77 |
| 2026-09-20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 52¢ · -108 | $102 | +58 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 43¢ · +131 | $96 | −96 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $104 | +95 |
| 2026-09-20 | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht · Spread Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)soccer · spreads | FC Utrecht | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $120 | −120 |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kashiwa Reysol · Spread Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Kashiwa Reysol | lost | 45¢ · +123 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 46¢ · +116 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kashiwa Reysol: 1st Half O/U 0.5soccer · first half totals | Over | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $98 | +93 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 30¢ · +237 | $74 | +164 |
| 2026-09-20 | Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Draw at halftime?soccer · soccer halftime result | Yes | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $95 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 50¢ · -101 | $103 | +95 |
| 2026-09-20 | New Zealand Breakers vs. Illawarra Hawksmoneyline · Non-sports | Illawarra Hawks | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $98 | −98 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 49¢ · +103 | $64 | −64 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $121 | −121 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 62¢ · -162 | $118 | +67 |
| 2026-09-20 | Portland Timbers vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $123 | −123 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 38¢ · +163 | $96 | +144 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 36¢ · +178 | $25 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 12.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $153 | −153 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 42¢ · +140 | $156 | −156 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)baseball · spreads | San Francisco Giants | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $177 | −177 |
| 2026-09-20 | CF Monterrey vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $154 | −154 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 51¢ · -103 | $155 | +140 |
| 2026-09-20 | Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $154 | −154 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)baseball · spreads | St. Louis Cardinals | lost | 39¢ · +157 | $144 | +201 |
| 2026-09-20 | CF Monterrey vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 1.5soccer · first half totals | Over | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $155 | −155 |
| 2026-09-20 | CR Vasco da Gama vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $154 | −154 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $155 | −155 |
| 2026-09-20 | Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $155 | −155 |
| 2026-09-20 | Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 19.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $154 | −154 |
| 2026-09-19 | Royal Charleroi SC vs. Cercle Brugge: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $157 | −157 |
| 2026-09-19 | Paris FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 48¢ · +108 | $154 | +159 |
| 2026-09-19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $155 | −155 |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | won | 47¢ · +113 | $154 | +165 |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 51¢ · -105 | $154 | −154 |
| 2026-09-19 | Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Karmine Corp | lost | 48¢ · +109 | $154 | −154 |
| 2026-09-19 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffsesports · moneyline | MOUZ | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $154 | −154 |
| 2026-09-19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 52¢ · -109 | $155 | −155 |
| 2026-09-19 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffsesports · moneyline | Invictus Gaming | won | 53¢ · -113 | $205 | +173 |
| 2026-09-19 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 57¢ · -133 | $153 | +110 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Chicago White Sox (-5.5)baseball · spreads | Detroit Tigers | won | 46¢ · +117 | $103 | +115 |
| 2026-09-18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 50¢ · -102 | $155 | −155 |
| 2026-09-18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 53¢ · -112 | $155 | +129 |
| 2026-09-18 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffsesports · moneyline | MOUZ | won | 45¢ · +122 | $154 | +179 |
| 2026-09-18 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffsesports · moneyline | Team WE | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $206 | −206 |
| 2026-09-18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 51¢ · -103 | $155 | −155 |
| 2026-09-18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 49¢ · +104 | $155 | +151 |
| 2026-09-18 | Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 39¢ · +159 | $156 | −156 |
| 2026-09-18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $156 | −156 |
| 2026-09-17 | Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 50¢ · -100 | $123 | +117 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 44¢ · +127 | $185 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)baseball · spreads | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 51¢ · -104 | $131 | +120 |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 46¢ · +119 | $131 | −131 |
| 2026-09-17 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $123 | −123 |
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $155 | −155 |
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 38¢ · +167 | $157 | +243 |
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $157 | −157 |
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $155 | −155 |
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 52¢ · -109 | $155 | +132 |
| 2026-09-17 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Top Esports | won | 53¢ · -113 | $154 | +129 |
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 30¢ · +235 | $157 | −157 |
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 51¢ · -104 | $155 | +139 |
| 2026-09-17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 51¢ · -103 | $155 | +140 |
| 2026-09-17 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-16 | Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 51¢ · -104 | $102 | +94 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 54¢ · -117 | $155 | +123 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 49¢ · +105 | $155 | +152 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 46¢ · +117 | $154 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 35¢ · +187 | $105 | −105 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 45¢ · +120 | $208 | +233 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $207 | −207 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 32¢ · +214 | $105 | −105 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 24¢ · +311 | $209 | −209 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 51¢ · -104 | $103 | +93 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 36¢ · +176 | $104 | −13 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 49¢ · +104 | $52 | +50 |
| 2026-09-16 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-16 | São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 55¢ · -123 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-16 | San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Spread San Francisco Giants (-5.5)baseball · spreads | St. Louis Cardinals | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-15 | Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 49¢ · +103 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-15 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 44¢ · +127 | $103 | +124 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $123 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 50¢ · -100 | $103 | +96 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-15 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Non-sports | No | lost | 11¢ · +779 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-15 | Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Buriram United: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $109 | −109 |
| 2026-09-15 | Ratchaburi FC vs. Shanghai Port FC: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 49¢ · +104 | $103 | +102 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 53¢ · -115 | $126 | −126 |
| 2026-09-15 | Kashima Antlers vs. Newcastle United Jets: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 52¢ · -108 | $183 | +161 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Gamba Osaka win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 51¢ · -105 | $124 | +111 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $125 | −125 |