Public evidence record

chrysos

0x536e4bd582d437cb2a4bc6bbec8384c600cd4fd5

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.3%3,562 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.1%$216,191 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.90%2,232 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1922-1592-18Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−120.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,562 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.3% to +0.7%

3,562 closed positions · 4,729 taker fills · $216,191 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,232 pre-event fills · 5% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports2,332 closed1251–1052–10-2.2%
Soccer618 closed360–245–4-0.1%
Basketball193 closed109–83+1.6%
Baseball190 closed80–109-12.5%
Tennis185 closed98–83–4-9.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	T1	exited	71¢ · -245	$51	+20
2026-11-06	Magic vs. Suns: O/U 222.5basketball · totals	Under	won	50¢ · -100	$51	+49
2026-11-06	UTSA vs. Florida Atlanticfootball · moneyline	Florida Atlantic	won	60¢ · -150	$51	+33
2026-11-06	Derrick Henry: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5football · rushing yards	Under	won	61¢ · -156