Public evidence record

0x5415…f764

0x5415e0326703e29a16f6b260ce3c85692ef0f764

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-11.4%299 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.7%$98,673 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.40%99 pre-event fills

Settlement record

78-199Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−38.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 299 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -22.9% to +0.0%

299 closed positions · 366 taker fills · $98,673 deployed

Typical position $254 (median) · closing line value measured over 99 pre-event fills · 8% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer261 closed62–177-12.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Combo: Clarissa Gai — W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Mariam Gabr vs Clarissa Gai + Hugo Grenier — Saint Tropez: Hugo Grenier vs Vadym Ursu + Dimitris Sakellaridis — Genoa 2: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Lorenzo Berto + Rebecca Munk Mortensen — W50 Yecla: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Paula Cembranos + Alex Kobelt — M25 Falun: Alex Kobelt vs Linus Andersson + Moez Echargui — Saint Tropez: Moez Echargui vs Karl Poling + Aglaya Fedorova — W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Vlada Pikhlik vs Aglaya Fedorova + Garrett Johns — M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tristan McCormick vs Garrett Johns + Guiomar Maristany — Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Despina Papamichail + Murphy Cassone — Saint Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Patrick Zahraj + Nikita Mashtakov — Plovdiv 4: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita Mashtakovtennis · combo	—	lost	10¢ · +932	$100	−100
2026-09-21	Combo: Yes — M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Niklas Waldner vs Denis Rasshchupkin + Yes — M15 Baku: Liam Delicata vs Louis Allen + Yes — Plovdiv 4: Pavel Lagutin vs Svyatoslav Gulintennis · combo	—	exited	62¢ · -164	$200	+115
2026-09-21	Combo: Matteo Fondriest — M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Matteo Fondriest vs Filippo Crippa + Lorenzo Beraldo — M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Lorenzo Beraldo vs Alessandro Mondazzi + Makar Krivoshchekov — M15 Baku: Makar Krivoshchekov vs Snir Morag + Filip Misolic — Plovdiv 4: Filip Misolic vs Sebastian Gima + Daniel Jade — Saint Tropez: Mathys Domenc vs Daniel Jade + Jack Karlsson Wistrand — M25 Falun: Jack Karlsson Wistrand vs Gabriel Gomez + Leonardo Primucci — M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Leonardo Primucci vs Justin Lenders + Tomas Lanik — M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Tomas Lanik vs Henry De Keulenaer + Lewie Lane — M25 Falun: Kelvin Walltin vs Lewie Lane + Alessandro Bellifemine — M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Alessandro Bellifemine vs Mattias Pisanu + Gawad El Feky — M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Karim Sherif Abdellatif Abdo vs Gawad El Feky + Lawrence Bataljin — M25 Falun: Lawrence Bataljin vs Sizya Ernest Kivanda + Ryan Nijboer — Genoa 2: Ryan Nijboer vs Alejandro Juan Mano