Public evidence record

milliondream

0x56307c17d1ec9048e1747811fd9ef032c3f86ca8

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.5%646 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.2%$176,706 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.97%356 pre-event fills

Settlement record

352-146-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−16.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 646 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.5% to +1.4%

646 closed positions · 1,932 taker fills · $176,706 deployed

Typical position $144 (median) · closing line value measured over 356 pre-event fills · 24% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$21

Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka

England

entry 77¢ · -335now 86¢ · -590+8.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer633 closed345–141–3-2.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-31	Kidderminster Harriers FC vs. Barrow AFC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals	Over	lost	54¢ · -117	$61	−61
2026-08-30	CA Talleres vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5soccer · totals	Over	lost	40¢ · +147	$642	−642
2026-08-30	D.C. United SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5soccer · totals	Over	lost	48¢ · +107	$205	−205
2026-08-30	CA Talleres vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5soccer · totals	Over	lost	30¢ · +236