Public evidence record

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0x566c2cf296a54c01dcec23e3e95200dd34593d03

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-0.4%158 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.0%$7,762 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.67%87 pre-event fills

Settlement record

91-66Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−9.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 158 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.5% to +9.7%

158 closed positions · 481 taker fills · $7,762 deployed

Typical position $39 (median) · closing line value measured over 87 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

5 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$19

Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 22?

Yes

entry 6¢ · +1567now 2¢ · +4248−3.7 pts

Open

value$26

Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes

entry 6¢ · +1705now 5¢ · +1962−0.7 pts

Open

value$49

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes

entry 2¢ · +4267now 2¢ · +4344−0.0 pts

Open

value$81

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes

entry 4¢ · +2686now 6¢ · +1609+2.3 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports82 closed45–37-1.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 41 sports · 59 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 20?Non-sports	Yes	lost	51¢ · -102	$52	−52
2026-09-20	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 20?Non-sports	Yes	lost	5¢ · +1900	$53	−53
2026-09-19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETNon-sports	Down	lost	14¢ · +627	$28	−28
2026-09-18	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 17?