Public evidence record
dv-pm
0x56acab44cfca2e88bb9b3406890aea7bfa0cd77e
Proven
Record anatomy
Know what this profile can prove.
Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
Identity statusUnclaimed public record
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026
Source sync: Aug 7, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.
Cumulative returnUnits normalized to the average position
Oldest settled position120 points shownMost recent
Sample-adjusted return
+21.8%482 settled positionsClosing line value
+1.07%813 pre-event fillsBeat the close
+61%813 pre-event fillsSettlement record
260-218Wins · losses · pushes95% confidence interval on return: +11.3% to +32.3%
482 settled positions · 3,157 taker fills · $2,901,289 deployed
Closing line value measured over 813 pre-event fills · 22% of fills were market making
Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.
Position log
Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.
| Settled | Outcome | Entry (implied) | Cost | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 20% · +400 | $103 | — |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 11% · +809 | $13 | — |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 41% · +144 | $202 | −202 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 86% · -614 | $34 | +6 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 80% · -400 | $318 | — |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 12% · +733 | $196 | −196 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 43% · +133 | $1,083 | −1,083 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 61% · -156 | $8,842 | +5,653 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 55% · -122 | $7,684 | +6,287 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 47% · +113 | $4,857 | −4,857 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 38% · +163 | $6,731 | +10,983 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 46% · +117 | $945 | −945 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 51% · -104 | $8 | +7 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 5% · +1752 | $33 | — |
| 2026-08-03 | won | 53% · -113 | $12,786 | +11,338 |
| 2026-08-03 | won | 48% · +108 | $8,892 | +9,633 |
| 2026-08-03 | lost | 51% · -104 | $12,673 | −12,673 |
| 2026-08-03 | won | 45% · +122 | $9 | +12 |
| 2026-08-02 | won | 48% · +108 | $15,372 | +16,654 |
| 2026-08-02 | won | 33% · +203 | $4,512 | +9,161 |
| 2026-08-02 | lost | 62% · -163 | $1,343 | −1,343 |
| 2026-08-02 | won | 42% · +138 | $5,018 | +6,929 |
| 2026-08-02 | won | 45% · +122 | $11,640 | +14,226 |
| 2026-08-02 | won | 47% · +113 | $12,318 | +13,890 |
| 2026-08-02 | lost | 36% · +178 | $843 | −843 |
| 2026-08-01 | lost | 46% · +117 | $307 | — |
| 2026-08-01 | lost | 47% · +113 | $17,411 | −17,411 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 57% · -133 | $2,411 | +1,819 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 49% · +104 | $42 | +43 |
| 2026-08-01 | lost | 23% · +335 | $1,479 | — |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 40% · +150 | $484 | +726 |
| 2026-08-01 | lost | 39% · +156 | $12 | −12 |
| 2026-08-01 | lost | 48% · +108 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 94% · -1567 | $94 | — |
| 2026-08-01 | lost | 50% · -100 | $11,547 | −11,547 |
| 2026-07-31 | won | 52% · -108 | $9,146 | +8,442 |
| 2026-07-31 | lost | 48% · +108 | $14,457 | −14,457 |
| 2026-07-31 | won | 44% · +127 | $5,034 | +6,407 |
| 2026-07-31 | won | 72% · -257 | $14 | — |
| 2026-07-31 | won | 94% · -1567 | $28 | — |
| 2026-07-31 | won | 40% · +150 | $4,808 | — |
| 2026-07-30 | lost | 36% · +178 | $8,795 | −8,795 |
| 2026-07-30 | lost | 65% · -186 | $189 | −189 |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 42% · +138 | $549 | +758 |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 48% · +108 | $8,214 | +8,899 |
| 2026-07-30 | lost | 48% · +108 | $7,742 | −7,742 |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 23% · +335 | $334 | — |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 51% · -104 | $12,824 | +12,321 |
| 2026-07-30 | lost | 23% · +335 | $77 | — |
| 2026-07-30 | lost | 42% · +138 | $9,833 | — |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 48% · +108 | $7,572 | +8,203 |
| 2026-07-30 | lost | 39% · +156 | $56 | −56 |
| 2026-07-30 | lost | 40% · +150 | $154 | −154 |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 45% · +122 | $7,243 | +8,852 |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 62% · -163 | $8,982 | +5,505 |
| 2026-07-30 | lost | 80% · -400 | $81 | −81 |
| 2026-07-29 | won | 42% · +138 | $5,014 | +6,925 |
| 2026-07-29 | lost | 43% · +133 | $9,556 | −9,556 |
| 2026-07-29 | won | 49% · +104 | $13,108 | +13,643 |
| 2026-07-29 | won | 57% · -133 | $10,042 | +7,576 |
| 2026-07-29 | won | 50% · -100 | $102 | +102 |
| 2026-07-29 | won | 58% · -138 | $11,802 | +8,546 |
| 2026-07-29 | lost | 43% · +133 | $900 | −900 |
| 2026-07-29 | won | 57% · -133 | $9,761 | +7,363 |
| 2026-07-29 | won | 51% · -104 | $11,023 | +10,591 |
| 2026-07-29 | lost | 3% · +3604 | $7 | — |
| 2026-07-28 | lost | 7% · +1329 | $81 | −81 |
| 2026-07-28 | won | 48% · +108 | $8,241 | +8,927 |
| 2026-07-28 | lost | 47% · +113 | $5,671 | −5,671 |
| 2026-07-28 | won | 55% · -122 | $2,159 | +1,767 |
| 2026-07-28 | lost | 46% · +117 | $8,303 | −8,303 |
| 2026-07-28 | lost | 64% · -178 | $12,952 | −12,952 |
| 2026-07-28 | won | 67% · -203 | $493 | +243 |
| 2026-07-28 | lost | 44% · +127 | $13 | −13 |
| 2026-07-28 | lost | 57% · -133 | $9,181 | −9,181 |
| 2026-07-28 | won | 41% · +144 | $668 | +962 |
| 2026-07-28 | won | 50% · -100 | $772 | +772 |
| 2026-07-28 | won | 62% · -163 | $1,239 | +760 |
| 2026-07-28 | lost | 50% · -100 | $11,029 | −11,029 |
| 2026-07-28 | lost | 52% · -108 | $516 | −516 |
| 2026-07-28 | won | 63% · -170 | $11,028 | +6,477 |
| 2026-07-28 | won | 67% · -203 | $5,588 | +2,752 |
| 2026-07-27 | lost | 49% · +104 | $12,901 | −12,901 |
| 2026-07-27 | lost | 47% · +113 | $8,321 | −8,321 |
| 2026-07-27 | won | 62% · -163 | $38 | +23 |
| 2026-07-27 | won | 49% · +104 | $11,848 | +12,332 |
| 2026-07-27 | lost | 49% · +104 | $295 | −295 |
| 2026-07-27 | won | 52% · -108 | $7,505 | +6,928 |
| 2026-07-26 | lost | 9% · +1011 | $41 | — |
| 2026-07-26 | won | 46% · +117 | $3,215 | +3,774 |
| 2026-07-26 | lost | 10% · +900 | $58 | — |
| 2026-07-26 | won | 94% · -1595 | $9 | — |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 54% · -117 | $158 | — |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 63% · -170 | $28 | +16 |
| 2026-07-24 | lost | 47% · +113 | $11,582 | −11,582 |
| 2026-07-24 | lost | 57% · -133 | $317 | −317 |
| 2026-07-24 | won | 51% · -104 | $1,961 | +1,884 |
| 2026-07-24 | lost | 53% · -113 | $6,769 | −6,769 |
| 2026-07-24 | lost | 37% · +170 | $1,577 | −1,577 |
| 2026-07-24 | won | 63% · -170 | $2,764 | +1,623 |