Public evidence record

dv-pm

0x56acab44cfca2e88bb9b3406890aea7bfa0cd77e

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.6%6,048 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+7.5%$10,211,815 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+1.11%8,598 pre-event fills

Settlement record

2998-3005-45Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−171.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 6,048 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.2% to -4.0%

6,048 closed positions · 8,705 taker fills · $10,211,815 deployed

Typical position $169 (median) · closing line value measured over 8,598 pre-event fills · 7% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

25 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$317

Will Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Yes

entry 12¢ · +733now 11¢ · +852−1.5 pts

Open

value$875

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31?

No

entry 31¢ · +223now 31¢ · +228−0.5 pts

Open

value$768

Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)

Cardinals

entry 46¢ · +117now 46¢ · +120−0.5 ptsboth sides

Open

value$920

Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)

Cowboys

entry 49¢ · +104now 55¢ · -120+5.5 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer3,098 closed1488–1608–2-9.6%
Tennis1,366 closed702–623–41-6.4%
Baseball1,036 closed524–512-0.5%
Basketball210 closed106–104-4.8%
Football152 closed67–85-7.1%
Hockey106 closed54–52-4.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Laslo Djeretennis · moneyline	Matej Dodig	won	54¢ · -117	$3	+3
2026-11-05	Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathitennis · moneyline	Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi	lost	17¢ · +488	$6	−6
2026-11-05	Spread: Warriors (-9.5)basketball · spreads	Heat	lost	65¢ · -186	$3	−3
2026-11-05	Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline	No	lost	39¢ · +156

dv-pm

Know what this profile can prove.

Currently holding

Yes

No

Cardinals

Cowboys

By sport

Position log

Vikings

Frosinone Calcio

No

Dolphins

Over

No

Under

No

Yes

Yes

No

Yes

No

Yes

Falcons

Over

Yes

Eagles

Yes

Yes

Over