Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-08-08?
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Public evidence record
0x56acab44cfca2e88bb9b3406890aea7bfa0cd77e
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-4.3%4,380 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
+8.7%$9,103,131 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
+0.93%5,400 pre-event fillsSettlement record
2281-2074-25Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−129.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 4,380 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.2% to -1.3%
4,380 closed positions · 6,153 taker fills · $9,103,131 deployed
Typical position $273 (median) · closing line value measured over 5,400 pre-event fills · 9% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-08-08?
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-08-08?
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Francesco Maestrellitennis · moneyline | Francesco Maestrelli | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $8 | −8 |
| 2026-09-21 | Singapore Open: Kyoka Okamura vs Leylah Fernandeztennis · moneyline | Kyoka Okamura | lost | 5¢ · +1900 | $930 | −930 |
| 2026-09-21 | Korea Open: Katie Volynets vs Elvina Kalievatennis · moneyline | Elvina Kalieva | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $80 | −80 |
| 2026-09-21 | Singapore Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichtennis · moneyline | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | won |
Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 53.5
Spread: Packers (-6.5)
Titans vs. Giants
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)
Raiders vs. Saints: O/U 44.5
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
Titans vs. Giants: O/U 43.5
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
Titans vs. Giants: O/U 42.5
Tolentino: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Julia Grabher
Buenos Aires 2: Juan Bautista Torres vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur
Singapore Open: Talia Gibson vs Amanda Anisimova
Hangzhou Open: Jie Cui vs Adolfo Vallejo
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Chengdu Open: Sebastian Baez vs Jenson Brooksby
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
| 41¢ · +144 |
| $1,457 |
| +1,995 |
| 2026-09-20 | Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 72¢ · -257 | $108 | +40 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $89 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5basketball · totals | Under | won | 50¢ · -100 | $26 | +24 |
| 2026-09-20 | CA Platense vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $413 | −413 |
| 2026-09-20 | Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5soccer · first half totals | Over | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $37 | −37 |
| 2026-09-20 | EC Vitória vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 1.5soccer · first half totals | Over | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-09-20 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · moneyline | Texas Rangers | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $948 | −948 |
| 2026-09-20 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros · Spread Houston Astros (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Houston Astros | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $34 | −34 |
| 2026-09-20 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · moneyline | Detroit Tigers | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $356 | −356 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Arizona Diamondbacks | won | 33¢ · +203 | $7 | +13 |
| 2026-09-20 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbaseball · moneyline | New York Mets | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $205 | −205 |
| 2026-09-20 | Viborg FF vs. FC Nordsjælland: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $93 | −93 |
| 2026-09-20 | World Series of Darts: Luke Littler vs Jonny Claytondarts · moneyline | Jonny Clayton | won | 13¢ · +669 | $2,032 | +12,947 |
| 2026-09-20 | Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $213 | −213 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig · Spread Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | won | 31¢ · +223 | $187 | +395 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Grêmio FBPA vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 26¢ · +285 | $13 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Kalmar FF vs. BK Hacken: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 56¢ · -127 | $60 | +45 |
| 2026-09-20 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF · Spread Real Madrid CF (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Real Madrid CF | lost | 4¢ · +2464 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-20 | Juventus FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $44 | −44 |
| 2026-09-20 | Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 2 Sunderland AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +2841 | $59 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $80 | −80 |
| 2026-09-20 | Exact Score: Olympique de Marseille 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 4¢ · +2464 | $6 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 2 Sunderland AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 4¢ · +2400 | $11 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Ljubljana: Mona Barthel vs Samira De Stefanotennis · moneyline | Mona Barthel | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $297 | −297 |
| 2026-09-20 | DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. 1. FC Heidenheim · Spread 1. FC Heidenheim (-2.5)soccer · spreads | 1. FC Heidenheim | lost | 5¢ · +2122 | $64 | −64 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 68¢ · -213 | $41 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | NEC vs. Go Ahead Eagles · Spread Go Ahead Eagles (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Go Ahead Eagles | lost | 6¢ · +1595 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-09-20 | Viborg FF vs. FC Nordsjælland · Spread FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)soccer · spreads | FC Nordsjælland | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $97 | −97 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 67¢ · -203 | $41 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | Seattle Mariners | won | 59¢ · -144 | $14 | +10 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 27¢ · +270 | $1,709 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: 1st Half O/U 0.5soccer · first half totals | Over | won | 72¢ · -257 | $202 | +75 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | won | 29¢ · +245 | $145 | +339 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Brøndby IF vs. FC København end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $13 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Exact Score: Olympique de Marseille 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +5782 | $9 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $1,863 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig · Spread RB Leipzig (-2.5)soccer · spreads | RB Leipzig | lost | 5¢ · +1900 | $110 | −110 |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Energie Cottbus vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: 1st Half O/U 2.5soccer · first half totals | Over | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-20 | UD Almería vs. Celta Fortuna · Spread UD Almería (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Celta Fortuna | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $28 | −28 |
| 2026-09-20 | SC Paderborn 07 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · Spread SC Paderborn 07 (-2.5)soccer · spreads | SC Paderborn 07 | lost | 3¢ · +3233 | $45 | −45 |
| 2026-09-20 | DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. 1. FC Heidenheim · Spread 1. FC Heidenheim (-1.5)soccer · spreads | 1. FC Heidenheim | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $169 | −169 |
| 2026-09-20 | Hannover 96 vs. VfL Bochum · Spread Hannover 96 (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Hannover 96 | lost | 6¢ · +1567 | $79 | −79 |
| 2026-09-20 | SC Paderborn 07 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · Spread TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-3.5)soccer · spreads | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $146 | −146 |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Energie Cottbus vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 · Spread FC St. Pauli 1910 (-3.5)soccer · spreads | FC St. Pauli 1910 | lost | 5¢ · +2122 | $56 | −56 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $321 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will AC Milan vs. US Lecce end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +525 | $37 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF · Spread Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Club Atlético de Madrid | lost | 4¢ · +2475 | $148 | −148 |
| 2026-09-20 | CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 53¢ · -113 | $3,165 | +2,670 |
| 2026-09-20 | Frosinone Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | won | 39¢ · +156 | $109 | +161 |
| 2026-09-19 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Angels | won | 65¢ · -186 | $214 | +110 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 22¢ · +355 | $23 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 2 - 0 Liverpool FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 4¢ · +2532 | $25 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Austin FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 80¢ · -400 | $134 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | Colorado Rockies | won | 42¢ · +138 | $6,550 | +8,606 |
| 2026-09-19 | Portland Timbers vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5soccer · first half totals | Over | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-19 | New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $96 | −96 |
| 2026-09-19 | Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | San Diego FC | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $42 | −42 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $14 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 22¢ · +355 | $46 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 177.5basketball · totals | Over | won | 47¢ · +113 | $726 | +779 |
| 2026-09-19 | CR Vasco da Gama vs. Coritiba FBC · Spread CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Coritiba FBC | lost | 79¢ · -376 | $247 | −247 |
| 2026-09-19 | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $74 | −74 |
| 2026-09-19 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Peyton Stearns vs Iva Jovictennis · moneyline | Iva Jovic | won | 74¢ · -285 | $3,552 | +1,186 |
| 2026-09-19 | Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $188 | −188 |
| 2026-09-19 | San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5soccer · first half totals | Over | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-19 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)baseball · spreads | New York Yankees | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $55 | −55 |
| 2026-09-19 | Spread: Minnesota United FC (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Los Angeles Galaxy | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $21 | +2 |
| 2026-09-19 | San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5soccer · first half totals | Over | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-09-19 | Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $94 | −94 |
| 2026-09-19 | World Series of Darts: Luke Littler vs Nathan Aspinalldarts · moneyline | Luke Littler | won | 85¢ · -567 | $9 | +1 |
| 2026-09-19 | St. Louis City SC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 66¢ · -194 | $678 | +332 |
| 2026-09-19 | New England Revolution vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 70¢ · -233 | $705 | +287 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Texas Rangers | won | 63¢ · -170 | $1,817 | +1,015 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will FC Arouca win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $57 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | SG Dynamo Dresden vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $353 | −353 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will CF Montréal win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 63¢ · -170 | $56 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 65¢ · -186 | $2,279 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | D.C. United SC vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $75 | −75 |
| 2026-09-19 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox · Spread Chicago White Sox (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Detroit Tigers | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $38 | −38 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 77¢ · -335 | $866 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | World Series of Darts: James Wade vs Wessel Nijmandarts · moneyline | James Wade | won | 52¢ · -108 | $5 | +5 |
| 2026-09-19 | San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 77¢ · -335 | $96 | +27 |
| 2026-09-19 | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 54¢ · -117 | $296 | +239 |
| 2026-09-19 | Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 · Spread Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | lost | 6¢ · +1718 | $133 | −133 |
| 2026-09-19 | Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC · Spread Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Paris Saint-Germain FC | won | 96¢ · -2173 | $7 | +0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anna Blinkovatennis · moneyline | Anna Blinkova | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $921 | −921 |
| 2026-09-19 | Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 175.5basketball · totals | Over | won | 48¢ · +108 | $11 | +11 |
| 2026-09-19 | Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Yasmine Kabbajtennis · moneyline | Alicia Herrero Linana | won | 62¢ · -163 | $12 | +7 |
| 2026-09-19 | Le Mans FC vs. FC Lorient: 1st Half O/U 0.5soccer · first half totals | Over | won | 71¢ · -245 | $337 | +131 |
| 2026-09-19 | Angers SCO vs. ES Troyes AC: 1st Half O/U 0.5soccer · first half totals | Over | won | 71¢ · -245 | $109 | +43 |
| 2026-09-19 | Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 3 FC Internazionale Milano?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 4¢ · +2757 | $14 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | ADO Den Haag vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $22 | −22 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $106 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 8¢ · +1150 | $56 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | St Mirren FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 59¢ · -144 | $33 | +22 |
| 2026-09-19 | Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Spread 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)soccer · spreads | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $133 | −133 |