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Public evidence record
0x56bc00a391fb5a5dcb67ff4d84ff70951af9a1e4
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Oct 3, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-4.7%134 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-5.5%$31,558 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
Insufficient sample24 pre-event fillsSettlement record
65-49Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−13.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 134 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.6% to +3.2%
134 closed positions · 262 taker fills · $31,558 deployed
Typical position $164 (median) · closing line value measured over 24 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 81 sports · 19 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Ducks vs. Golden Knightshockey · moneyline | Golden Knights | lost | 45¢ · +123 | $49 | −21 |
| 2026-10-03 | Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Under | lost | 67¢ · -202 | $51 | −46 |
| 2026-10-03 | Blues vs. Stars: O/U 5.5hockey · totals | Under | won | 87¢ · -669 | $44 | +6 |
| 2026-10-03 | Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5hockey · totals |
| Under |
| won |
| 59¢ · -144 |
| $33 |
| −2 |
| 2026-10-03 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbasketball · moneyline | Dallas Wings | lost | 41¢ · +145 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-10-03 | Bruins vs. Jetshockey · moneyline | Bruins | exited | 37¢ · +173 | $17 | +28 |
| 2026-10-03 | Capitals vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5hockey · totals | Under | won | 33¢ · +203 | $10 | +20 |
| 2026-10-02 | Panthers vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5hockey · totals | Under | won | 82¢ · -453 | $50 | +11 |
| 2026-10-02 | Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Under | won | 75¢ · -300 | $38 | +12 |
| 2026-10-02 | Spread: Browns (-2.5)football · spreads | Browns | won | 37¢ · +170 | $15 | +24 |
| 2026-10-01 | Spread: Steelers (-2.5)football · spreads | Steelers | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $15 | −1 |
| 2026-10-01 | Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)hockey · spreads | Avalanche | won | 43¢ · +133 | $7 | +8 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 69¢ · -226 | $13 | −13 |
| 2026-09-30 | Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5hockey · totals | Under | won | 58¢ · -138 | $8 | +6 |
| 2026-09-30 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread San Diego Padres (-6.5)baseball · spreads | San Diego Padres | won | 75¢ · -300 | $6 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Spread: Oilers (-1.5)hockey · spreads | Oilers | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-30 | Canucks vs. Oilershockey · moneyline | Oilers | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $25 | −19 |
| 2026-09-28 | Rams vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline | Rams | lost | 41¢ · +142 | $133 | −73 |
| 2026-09-28 | Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 61.5football · totals | Over | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $103 | +10 |
| 2026-09-27 | Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 49.5football · totals | Over | won | 70¢ · -233 | $73 | +31 |
| 2026-09-27 | Panthers vs. Brownsfootball · moneyline | Browns | exited | 40¢ · +150 | $17 | +25 |
| 2026-09-27 | Panthers vs. Brownsfootball · moneyline | Panthers | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $46 | +1 |
| 2026-09-27 | Spread: Lions (-6.5)football · spreads | Lions | won | 48¢ · +108 | $22 | +24 |
| 2026-08-28 | Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5soccer · soccer team totals | Under | lost | 69¢ · -218 | $73 | −73 |
| 2026-08-28 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 78¢ · -355 | $59 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · moneyline | Chicago Cubs | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $329 | −271 |
| 2026-08-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $263 | −263 |
| 2026-08-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 64¢ · -180 | $102 | +53 |
| 2026-08-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 59¢ · -146 | $149 | +95 |
| 2026-08-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 1¢ · +9900 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-08-28 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 89¢ · -809 | $403 | +47 |
| 2026-08-28 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5baseball · totals | Under | exited | 80¢ · -400 | $329 | +74 |
| 2026-08-28 | Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | exited | 80¢ · -400 | $267 | +63 |
| 2026-08-28 | 1st 5 Innings Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)baseball · baseball team first five spread | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 79¢ · -375 | $217 | +49 |
| 2026-08-27 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $521 | −521 |
| 2026-08-27 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Non-sports | No | lost | 6¢ · +1471 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 70¢ · -233 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals | won | 98¢ · -4781 | $517 | +10 |
| 2026-08-27 | Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationalsbaseball · moneyline | Washington Nationals | won | 90¢ · -900 | $472 | +45 |
| 2026-08-12 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | lost | 58¢ · -137 | $1,291 | −832 |
| 2026-08-12 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | San Diego Padres | exited | 84¢ · -525 | $385 | −34 |
| 2026-08-12 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 69¢ · -223 | $458 | −74 |
| 2026-08-12 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 72¢ · -257 | $693 | +246 |
| 2026-08-12 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Houston Astros (-1.5)baseball · spreads | San Francisco Giants | won | 75¢ · -307 | $530 | +163 |
| 2026-08-12 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athleticsbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 66¢ · -194 | $356 | +174 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | exited | 68¢ · -213 | $421 | +188 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $612 | −192 |
| 2026-08-12 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · moneyline | Cincinnati Reds | won | 77¢ · -335 | $483 | +131 |
| 2026-08-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 1¢ · +9900 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)baseball · spreads | New York Yankees | won | 81¢ · -426 | $400 | +84 |
| 2026-08-12 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 80¢ · -391 | $322 | +78 |
| 2026-08-12 | Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 14.5baseball · totals | Under | exited | 54¢ · -117 | $434 | −114 |
| 2026-08-12 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 76¢ · -317 | $338 | +98 |
| 2026-08-12 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $357 | −19 |
| 2026-08-08 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 71¢ · -245 | $28 | −28 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 78¢ · -355 | $2 | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 84¢ · -525 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 92¢ · -1113 | $44 | −44 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 75¢ · -299 | $35 | +11 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $32 | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $30 | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 74¢ · -286 | $24 | +8 |
| 2026-08-05 | Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Non-sports | Yes | won | 59¢ · -147 | $29 | — |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $28 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)baseball · spreads | San Diego Padres | exited | 83¢ · -486 | $25 | +5 |
| 2026-08-05 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 66¢ · -190 | $97 | −40 |
| 2026-08-05 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 47¢ · +113 | $25 | −6 |
| 2026-08-05 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Colorado Rockies | lost | 87¢ · -689 | $33 | −8 |
| 2026-08-05 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | Colorado Rockies | lost | 96¢ · -2307 | $207 | −139 |
| 2026-08-05 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · moneyline | Texas Rangers | exited | 81¢ · -426 | $178 | +40 |
| 2026-08-05 | Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 76¢ · -317 | $157 | −157 |
| 2026-08-05 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 2.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 61¢ · -156 | $36 | +22 |
| 2026-08-05 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 89¢ · -809 | $122 | +13 |
| 2026-08-04 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 88¢ · -733 | $111 | +14 |
| 2026-08-04 | Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 95¢ · -1861 | $105 | +5 |
| 2026-08-04 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | exited | 89¢ · -842 | $93 | +10 |
| 2026-08-03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 44¢ · +130 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-08-03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 69¢ · -223 | $4 | +2 |
| 2026-08-03 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Boston Red Sox (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 49¢ · +105 | $13 | −8 |
| 2026-08-03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 63¢ · -171 | $8 | +4 |
| 2026-08-02 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $15 | −6 |
| 2026-08-02 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Detroit Tigers (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Detroit Tigers | lost | 72¢ · -264 | $317 | −317 |
| 2026-08-02 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 82¢ · -462 | $266 | +52 |
| 2026-08-02 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 92¢ · -1097 | $246 | +21 |
| 2026-08-02 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 83¢ · -488 | $207 | +38 |
| 2026-08-02 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 54¢ · -117 | $113 | +92 |
| 2026-08-01 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 95¢ · -1949 | $108 | +5 |
| 2026-08-01 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 79¢ · -376 | $88 | +21 |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 78¢ · -355 | $70 | +18 |
| 2026-08-01 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 61¢ · -156 | $44 | +26 |
| 2026-08-01 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 77¢ · -343 | $135 | −91 |
| 2026-08-01 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $192 | −192 |
| 2026-08-01 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 85¢ · -567 | $572 | −379 |
| 2026-08-01 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbaseball · moneyline | Detroit Tigers | won | 52¢ · -109 | $538 | +266 |
| 2026-08-01 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 79¢ · -367 | $181 | +46 |
| 2026-08-01 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 66¢ · -194 | $175 | +85 |
| 2026-08-01 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies | lost | 84¢ · -525 | $355 | −180 |
| 2026-07-26 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $164 | −164 |
| 2026-07-26 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Chicago Cubs | exited | 49¢ · +104 | $447 | −285 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $3 | −3 |