Public evidence record

Saidmusician

0x581fdb978b7b5178b9d723485ffa47b14d639d8e

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.7%1,405 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.0%$277,676 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.55%138 pre-event fills

Settlement record

619-626-18Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−50.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,405 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.5% to +1.1%

1,405 closed positions · 2,524 taker fills · $277,676 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 138 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$49

Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group D

BIG Academy

entry 28¢ · +257now 4¢ · +2400−24.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports967 closed425–440–14-4.4%
Tennis249 closed93–113–4-8.6%
Soccer67 closed40–24-0.4%
Baseball66 closed41–21+0.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-23	Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eaglesbaseball · moneyline	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles	won	41¢ · +143	$208	+283
2026-09-23	Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Revise (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #7 Group Cesports · moneyline	Revise	lost	48¢ · +108	$5	−5
2026-09-23	Yokohama BayStars vs. Chunichi Dragonsbaseball · moneyline	Yokohama BayStars	won	74¢ · -285	$103	+35
2026-09-23