Public evidence record

2185ccpoli

0x5a4bb9fe7a50d53b065c70fee1799c99279f5b39

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.2%117 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.5%$24,268 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.28%102 pre-event fills

Settlement record

82-12Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−1.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 117 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.2% to +0.9%

117 closed positions · 299 taker fills · $24,268 deployed

Typical position $200 (median) · closing line value measured over 102 pre-event fills · 12% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$64

Perth Wildcats vs. Adelaide 36ers

Adelaide 36ers

entry 86¢ · -614now 28¢ · +264−58.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer94 closed61–12-4.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 22 sports · 78 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-23	Cairns Taipans vs. Tasmania JackJumpersmoneyline · Non-sports	Cairns Taipans	exited	91¢ · -1011	$201	+19
2026-09-23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETNon-sports	Up	won	90¢ · -900	$50	+5
2026-09-23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETNon-sports	Down	won	100¢ · -49900	$50	+0
2026-09-23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET