Public evidence record

ProbSniper

0x5c2a7f691eaeacdffd90b1835e5150817c8fa4bb

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.5%504 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.3%$75,442 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.52%327 pre-event fills

Settlement record

151-291-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−24.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 504 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.7% to +5.6%

504 closed positions · 752 taker fills · $75,442 deployed

Typical position $111 (median) · closing line value measured over 327 pre-event fills · 26% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis263 closed71–157–3-6.3%
Esports172 closed56–97-7.2%
Soccer58 closed20–30+3.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-14	Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Metizport	lost	40¢ · +150	$101	−101
2026-09-14	Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stageesports · moneyline	Falcons Force	lost	26¢ · +285	$100	−100
2026-09-13	Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5soccer · first half totals	Over	lost	19¢ · +426	$99	−99
2026-09-13	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffsesports · moneyline	G2