Public evidence record

SteadyC

0x5cbc6852e4736c1628bd5f7cdfe5f57c4b271d39

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-11.5%559 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-8.1%$74,943 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.78%279 pre-event fills

Settlement record

199-330-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−73.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 559 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -19.5% to -3.6%

559 closed positions · 856 taker fills · $74,943 deployed

Typical position $85 (median) · closing line value measured over 279 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

MMA357 closed115–220–3-10.0%
Basketball132 closed65–61-1.6%
Baseball54 closed18–36-10.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-31	Combo: Zach Reese — UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Zach Reese (Middleweight, Prelims) + JeongYeong Lee — UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims) + Renato Moicano — UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card) + Francis Marshall — UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card) + Jacobe Smith — UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · combo	—	lost	13¢ · +672	$200	−200
2026-10-24	Combo: Abus Magomedov — UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims) + Grant Dawson — UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) + Aaron Pico — UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims) + Daniel Santos — UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)mma · combo	—	won	8¢ · +1138	$200	+2,166
2026-10-24	Combo: Azamat Murzakanov — UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) + Kody Steele — UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims) + Abubakar Vagaev — UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)