Public evidence record

0x5f59…bd2d

0x5f5976c945cf43d50bcde04d147e0bc4d843bd2d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.0%357 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.3%$13,024 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample19 pre-event fills

Settlement record

147-172Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−37.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 357 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.9% to +2.0%

357 closed positions · 552 taker fills · $13,024 deployed

Typical position $31 (median) · closing line value measured over 19 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$50

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Team Yandex

entry 50¢ · -100now 52¢ · -106+1.5 pts

Open

value$10

SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5

Under

entry 58¢ · -138now 16¢ · +545−42.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports146 closed61–65-1.9%
Basketball69 closed31–31-4.7%
Baseball62 closed24–33-8.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 22 sports · 78 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-02	Set 1 Winner: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodartennis · tennis first set winner	Alejandro Tabilo	lost	51¢ · -103	$43	−43
2026-11-02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETNon-sports	Up	lost	52¢ · -108	$26	−26
2026-11-02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETNon-sports	Down	won	55¢ · -122	$26	+17
2026-11-02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET