Public evidence record

Delta-Neutral-1

0x5fa2837f2bb64ce6bdd4711117776700d6bc6df9

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.1%580 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.7%$78,295 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+1.46%399 pre-event fills

Settlement record

217-267-27Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−33.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 580 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.1% to +0.8%

580 closed positions · 1,219 taker fills · $78,295 deployed

Typical position $81 (median) · closing line value measured over 399 pre-event fills · 23% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$414

Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Revise (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #7 Group C

Revise

entry 38¢ · +161now 100¢+61.7 pts

Open

value$2

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

No

entry 49¢ · +102now 1¢ · +8596−48.3 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports528 closed193–243–26-5.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Counter-Strike: Rush vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #3 Playoffsesports · moneyline	QUINTESSÊNCIA	won	50¢ · -100	$31	+30
2026-09-20	Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	BakS eSports	lost	27¢ · +270	$108	−108
2026-09-20	Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodarmoneyline · Non-sports	Alejandro Tabilo	exited	45¢ · +124	$156	+14
2026-09-20