Public evidence record

jk12345

0x646ee5e684c05e2829dffcf9c285b86a08c1294d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.9%383 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+2.2%$41,017 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.52%379 pre-event fills

Settlement record

210-169-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−24.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 383 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.5% to +5.7%

383 closed positions · 611 taker fills · $41,017 deployed

Typical position $53 (median) · closing line value measured over 379 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball142 closed69–72-5.9%
Football78 closed56–21+3.3%
Hockey64 closed37–27-1.4%
Tennis57 closed26–29–2-8.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 93 sports · 7 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-04	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaevatennis · moneyline	Alina Charaeva	lost	75¢ · -300	$597	−597
2026-11-04	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNon-sports	Yes	won	77¢ · -335	$465	—
2026-11-03	Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Leheckatennis · moneyline	Jiri Lehecka	lost	43¢ · +133	$15	−15
2026-11-01	Chiefs vs. Broncos