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Public evidence record
0x6470814e64f3085fe4586cd4939cbf985b53aac7
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Oct 14, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-6.8%170 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.9%$8,374 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
+0.49%163 pre-event fillsSettlement record
101-55-4Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−7.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 170 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.3% to -0.3%
170 closed positions · 295 taker fills · $8,374 deployed
Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 163 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 61 sports · 39 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Hanyu Guotennis · moneyline | Hanyu Guo | exited | 41¢ · +144 | $10 | +1 |
| 2026-10-14 | Set Handicap: Ashlyn Krueger (-1.5) vs Lanlana Tararudee (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Lanlana Tararudee | won | 68¢ · -212 | $10 | +5 |
| 2026-10-14 | Set Handicap: Jessica Pegula (-1.5) vs Jelena Ostapenko (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Jessica Pegula | lost | 84¢ · -544 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-14 |
| Ann Li |
| won |
| 52¢ · -108 |
| $10 |
| +9 |
| 2026-10-14 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Janice Tjen vs Daria Snigurtennis · moneyline | Daria Snigur | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $10 | −8 |
| 2026-10-14 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNallytennis · moneyline | Karolina Muchova | won | 66¢ · -194 | $20 | +10 |
| 2026-10-14 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Lanlana Tararudeetennis · moneyline | Lanlana Tararudee | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-14 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinskatennis · moneyline | Maja Chwalinska | won | 38¢ · +163 | $10 | +16 |
| 2026-10-13 | Dana White's Contender Series: Aline Pereira vs. Smilla Sundell (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Smilla Sundell | won | 80¢ · -413 | $159 | +37 |
| 2026-10-13 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Boulter vs Diana Shnaidertennis · moneyline | Diana Shnaider | won | 85¢ · -567 | $20 | +3 |
| 2026-10-13 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Volynetstennis · moneyline | Katie Volynets | won | 87¢ · -669 | $9 | +1 |
| 2026-10-12 | Bills vs. Rams · Spread Rams (-4.5)football · spreads | Bills | won | 56¢ · -127 | $25 | +19 |
| 2026-10-12 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlektennis · moneyline | Sara Bejlek | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-12 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Donna Vekictennis · moneyline | Donna Vekic | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-12 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Magdalena Frechtennis · moneyline | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-10 | Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Katie Volynetstennis · moneyline | Katie Volynets | won | 72¢ · -257 | $12 | +5 |
| 2026-10-10 | Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Claire Liutennis · moneyline | Lanlana Tararudee | won | 60¢ · -150 | $5 | +3 |
| 2026-10-10 | Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Lois Boissontennis · moneyline | Anna Bondar | won | 52¢ · -108 | $5 | +4 |
| 2026-10-10 | Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Han Shitennis · moneyline | Han Shi | won | 60¢ · -153 | $6 | +4 |
| 2026-10-10 | China Open (Doubles): Siniakova/Zhang vs Routliffe/Sutjiaditennis · moneyline | Siniakova/Zhang | won | 73¢ · -270 | $5 | +2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Taylah Preston vs Ashlyn Kruegertennis · moneyline | Taylah Preston | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-10-09 | Will Layne Riggs win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Ecosave 200?racing | Yes | won | 67¢ · -203 | $7 | — |
| 2026-10-09 | Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Kamilla Rakhimovatennis · moneyline | Kamilla Rakhimova | won | 58¢ · -138 | $7 | +5 |
| 2026-10-09 | Game Spread: Iga Swiatek (-5.5) vs Elise Mertens (+5.5)tennis · tennis game handicap | Elise Mertens | won | 59¢ · -144 | $8 | +6 |
| 2026-10-09 | Suzhou: Aliona Falei vs Rebecca Sramkovatennis · moneyline | Rebecca Sramkova | won | 89¢ · -809 | $8 | +1 |
| 2026-10-09 | Suzhou: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elvina Kalievatennis · moneyline | Elvina Kalieva | won | 57¢ · -133 | $4 | +3 |
| 2026-10-08 | Buccaneers vs. Cowboysfootball · moneyline | Cowboys | lost | 80¢ · -407 | $157 | −42 |
| 2026-10-08 | Suzhou: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Aliona Faleitennis · moneyline | Oleksandra Oliynykova | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $15 | −14 |
| 2026-10-08 | Suzhou: Elvina Kalieva vs Tamara Korpatschtennis · moneyline | Tamara Korpatsch | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-08 | Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: 1H Moneylinefootball · first half moneyline | Cowboys | won | 73¢ · -270 | $25 | +9 |
| 2026-10-06 | Set Handicap: Iga Swiatek (-1.5) vs Iva Jovic (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Iva Jovic | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-06 | Falcons vs. Saintsfootball · moneyline | Falcons | won | 89¢ · -809 | $113 | +14 |
| 2026-10-05 | China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elise Mertenstennis · moneyline | Elise Mertens | won | 75¢ · -301 | $10 | +3 |
| 2026-10-05 | Game Spread: Coco Gauff (-7.5) vs Xinran Sun (+7.5)tennis · tennis game handicap | Xinran Sun | won | 57¢ · -133 | $10 | +7 |
| 2026-10-05 | China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zhengtennis · moneyline | Qinwen Zheng | won | 69¢ · -223 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-09-28 | Dana White's Contender Series: Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Aieza Bertolso | won | 80¢ · -392 | $43 | +10 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | won | 88¢ · -733 | $74 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Eduarda Moura | lost | 37¢ · +171 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Manon Fiorot — Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) + Regina Tarin — Noche UFC: JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)mma · combo | — | lost | 51¢ · -106 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-12 | Noche UFC: JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Regina Tarin | won | 72¢ · -257 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Non-sports | No | won | 50¢ · +102 | $50 | — |
| 2026-08-17 | Combo: Lois Boisson — Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Lois Boisson + Alexandra Eala — Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimova + Tereza Valentova — Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina + Pegula — Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)tennis · combo | — | lost | 16¢ · +508 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinatennis · moneyline | Elina Svitolina | won | 89¢ · -809 | $6 | −5 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovatennis · moneyline | Coco Gauff | won | 46¢ · +117 | $3 | +3 |
| 2026-08-16 | Combo: No — Cincinnati Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Iva Jovic + No — Cincinnati Open: Anna Blinkova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova + No — Cincinnati Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Xiyu Wangtennis · combo | — | exited | 80¢ · -398 | $2 | +1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Xiyu Wangtennis · moneyline | Leylah Fernandez | lost | 76¢ · -317 | $20 | −17 |
| 2026-08-16 | Will Arpichaya Yubol win the 2026 Portland Classic?golf · moneyline | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $48 | — |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Gabriela Rusetennis · moneyline | Alexandra Eala | won | 67¢ · -203 | $33 | +15 |
| 2026-06-15 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 28¢ · +253 | $50 | +21 |
| 2026-06-15 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 74¢ · -285 | $150 | +8 |
| 2026-06-15 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 27¢ · +264 | $55 | −5 |
| 2026-06-15 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 64¢ · -180 | $167 | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Non-sports | Yes | won | 81¢ · -419 | $100 | −35 |
| 2026-06-15 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Non-sports | Yes | won | 70¢ · -228 | $260 | — |
| 2026-06-15 | UFC Freedom 250 · O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | won | 74¢ · -285 | $71 | +24 |
| 2026-06-14 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 39¢ · +156 | $328 | +509 |
| 2026-06-14 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $171 | +44 |
| 2026-06-14 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 59¢ · -143 | $50 | +12 |
| 2026-06-02 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $122 | −122 |
| 2026-06-02 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-06-01 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $59 | −59 |
| 2026-05-17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 22¢ · +360 | $155 | −155 |
| 2026-05-01 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-05-01 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-04-29 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 23¢ · +336 | $152 | −152 |
| 2026-04-18 | UFC Fight Night · O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 82¢ · -456 | $38 | +8 |
| 2026-04-18 | UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Melissa Croden | won | 55¢ · -122 | $26 | +20 |
| 2026-04-17 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 60¢ · -153 | $343 | −343 |
| 2026-04-17 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Non-sports | Yes | won | 64¢ · -182 | $100 | +43 |
| 2026-03-31 | US forces enter Iran by March 31?Non-sports | No | won | 90¢ · -854 | $363 | −0 |
| 2026-03-31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?Non-sports | Up | won | 94¢ · -1520 | $82 | +5 |
| 2026-03-31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?Non-sports | Up | won | 67¢ · -203 | $55 | +27 |
| 2026-03-31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?Non-sports | Down | exited | 58¢ · -138 | $19 | −8 |
| 2026-03-30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?Non-sports | Up | won | 51¢ · -105 | $120 | +39 |
| 2026-03-24 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $232 | −232 |
| 2026-03-23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?Non-sports | Up | won | 98¢ · -3947 | $173 | +4 |
| 2026-03-23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?Non-sports | Down | lost | 70¢ · -238 | $127 | −127 |
| 2026-03-22 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Non-sports | No | won | 71¢ · -240 | $225 | −47 |
| 2026-03-22 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Non-sports | No | won | 45¢ · +122 | $50 | +39 |
| 2026-03-22 | High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbasketball · moneyline | Arkansas Razorbacks | exited | 88¢ · -733 | $113 | +15 |
| 2026-03-22 | Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Yulia Starodubtsevatennis · moneyline | Amanda Anisimova | won | 84¢ · -525 | $30 | +6 |
| 2026-03-21 | TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbasketball · moneyline | Duke Blue Devils | won | 87¢ · -669 | $19 | +3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbasketball · moneyline | Michigan State Spartans | won | 79¢ · -376 | $35 | +9 |
| 2026-03-21 | Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkovatennis · moneyline | Mirra Andreeva | won | 76¢ · -317 | $25 | +8 |
| 2026-03-21 | Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Pegula | push | 81¢ · -426 | $36 | −14 |
| 2026-03-21 | Miami Open: Francesca Jones vs Jessica Pegulatennis · moneyline | Jessica Pegula | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $83 | +4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?Non-sports | No | won | 57¢ · -133 | $25 | +11 |
| 2026-03-21 | Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintsevatennis · moneyline | Elena Rybakina | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $77 | +6 |
| 2026-03-20 | Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?Non-sports | No | won | 71¢ · -245 | $55 | — |
| 2026-03-20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 20?Non-sports | Down | won | 50¢ · -100 | $39 | +38 |
| 2026-03-20 | Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs McCartney Kesslertennis · moneyline | Mirra Andreeva | won | 68¢ · -212 | $104 | +49 |
| 2026-03-19 | Miami Open: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatektennis · moneyline | Iga Swiatek | lost | 96¢ · -2757 | $56 | −56 |
| 2026-03-19 | McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbasketball · moneyline | Vanderbilt Commodores | won | 85¢ · -567 | $88 | +15 |
| 2026-03-19 | Miami Open: Alexandra Eala vs Laura Siegemundtennis · moneyline | Alexandra Eala | won | 63¢ · -170 | $35 | +21 |
| 2026-03-19 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Non-sports | No | won | 84¢ · -545 | $110 | +14 |
| 2026-03-18 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 18?Non-sports | Down | won | 52¢ · -108 | $91 | +84 |
| 2026-03-18 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Non-sports | No | won | 75¢ · -300 | $83 | +7 |
| 2026-03-17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 17?Non-sports | Down | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $35 | −34 |
| 2026-03-16 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Non-sports | No | won | 85¢ · -567 | $115 | +20 |
| 2026-03-15 | Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 59¢ · -142 | $29 | — |