Public evidence record

stand.napkincycle

0x66ace325b76147e5719d346ba55c315c00c45e75

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.1%2,824 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.7%$131,669 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.67%962 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1481-981-362Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−35.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,824 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.3% to +2.1%

2,824 closed positions · 2,992 taker fills · $131,669 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 962 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis2,004 closed1043–615–346-1.0%
Esports660 closed348–296–16-3.7%
Soccer134 closed75–59-3.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Kalmychata	won	62¢ · -163	$51	+30
2026-09-21	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	GamerLegion	won	90¢ · -938	$50	+5
2026-09-21	Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals	Under	lost	56¢ · -127	$51	−51
2026-09-21	Bay FC vs. Racing Louisville FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals	Under	lost	15¢ · +567