Public evidence record
stand.napkincycle
0x66ace325b76147e5719d346ba55c315c00c45e75
Record anatomy
Know what this profile can prove.
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.
Sample-adjusted return
+8.3%134 settled positionsClosing line value
+2.82%47 pre-event fillsBeat the close
+66%47 pre-event fillsSettlement record
84-45-5Wins · losses · pushes95% confidence interval on return: +2.6% to +14.0%
134 settled positions · 1,967 taker fills · $6,324 deployed
Closing line value measured over 47 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.
Position log
Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.
| Settled | Outcome | Entry (implied) | Cost | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | won | 71% · -245 | $50 | +20 |
| 2026-08-07 | won | 83% · -488 | $50 | +10 |
| 2026-08-07 | won | 87% · -669 | $50 | +7 |
| 2026-08-07 | won | 83% · -488 | $50 | +10 |
| 2026-08-07 | lost | 74% · -283 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-07 | won | 80% · -400 | $50 | +13 |
| 2026-08-07 | won | 61% · -156 | $50 | +32 |
| 2026-08-07 | lost | 72% · -257 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-07 | won | 91% · -1011 | $50 | +5 |
| 2026-08-07 | lost | 69% · -223 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-07 | won | 88% · -733 | $50 | +7 |
| 2026-08-07 | lost | 53% · -113 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 87% · -669 | $50 | +7 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 79% · -376 | $50 | +13 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 94% · -1567 | $50 | +3 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 58% · -138 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 11% · +809 | $13 | −13 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 37% · +170 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 42% · +138 | $50 | +69 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 85% · -567 | $50 | +9 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 93% · -1329 | $50 | +4 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 34% · +194 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 74% · -285 | $50 | +18 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 59% · -144 | $50 | +35 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 17% · +488 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 34% · +194 | $50 | +97 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 7% · +1329 | $8 | −8 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 76% · -317 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 76% · -317 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 13% · +669 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 81% · -426 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 32% · +212 | $49 | +104 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 84% · -525 | $50 | +10 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 86% · -614 | $50 | +8 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 61% · -156 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 68% · -212 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 48% · +108 | $50 | +54 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 61% · -156 | $50 | +32 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 68% · -212 | $50 | +24 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 83% · -488 | $50 | +10 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 46% · +117 | $50 | +59 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 77% · -335 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 48% · +108 | $50 | +54 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 90% · -900 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 85% · -567 | $50 | +9 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 55% · -122 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 77% · -335 | $50 | +15 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 94% · -1567 | $50 | +3 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 77% · -335 | $50 | +15 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 28% · +257 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 93% · -1349 | $50 | +4 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 53% · -113 | $50 | +44 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 91% · -1011 | $50 | +5 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 58% · -138 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 46% · +117 | $50 | +59 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 83% · -488 | $50 | +10 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 52% · -108 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 57% · -133 | $50 | +38 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 81% · -426 | $50 | +12 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 36% · +178 | $50 | +89 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 54% · -117 | $50 | +43 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 59% · -144 | $50 | +35 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 56% · -127 | $50 | +39 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 91% · -1011 | $50 | +5 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 91% · -1011 | $50 | +5 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 71% · -245 | $50 | +20 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 66% · -194 | $50 | +26 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 86% · -614 | $50 | +8 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 69% · -223 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-04 | push | 51% · -104 | $50 | −1 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 29% · +245 | $42 | +103 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 58% · -138 | $50 | +36 |
| 2026-08-03 | won | 53% · -113 | $50 | +44 |
| 2026-08-03 | lost | 49% · +104 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 75% · -300 | $47 | +16 |
| 2026-07-30 | won | 58% · -138 | $50 | +36 |
| 2026-07-29 | won | 75% · -295 | $50 | +17 |
| 2026-07-29 | won | 63% · -170 | $50 | +29 |
| 2026-07-29 | won | 91% · -1011 | $50 | +5 |
| 2026-07-29 | won | 91% · -1011 | $50 | +5 |
| 2026-07-28 | won | 77% · -335 | $50 | +15 |
| 2026-07-28 | lost | 23% · +335 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-07-26 | lost | 77% · -335 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 59% · -143 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-24 | lost | 71% · -245 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-23 | won | 88% · -733 | $50 | +7 |
| 2026-07-23 | won | 80% · -400 | $50 | +13 |
| 2026-07-23 | lost | 42% · +138 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-22 | lost | 37% · +170 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-22 | lost | 20% · +400 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-07-21 | won | 92% · -1150 | $24 | +2 |
| 2026-07-18 | won | 84% · -525 | $50 | +10 |
| 2026-07-17 | won | 87% · -669 | $50 | +7 |
| 2026-07-16 | won | 72% · -257 | $50 | +19 |
| 2026-07-16 | won | 72% · -257 | $50 | +19 |
| 2026-07-16 | won | 76% · -317 | $50 | +16 |
| 2026-07-15 | lost | 65% · -186 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-15 | won | 67% · -203 | $50 | +25 |
| 2026-07-15 | lost | 67% · -203 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-15 | won | 70% · -233 | $50 | +21 |