value$880
Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5
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Open
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Public evidence record
0x6888e548e47cfc9dc629376d86a41018add64c79
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-4.2%1,273 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.4%$127,478 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.01%1,014 pre-event fillsSettlement record
666-483-13Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−44.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,273 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.5% to +0.1%
1,273 closed positions · 1,589 taker fills · $127,478 deployed
Typical position $84 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,014 pre-event fills · 30% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5
Spread: Schalke 04 (-1.5)
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 93 sports · 7 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | MOUZ | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-09-23 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group Cesports · moneyline | Phantom | exited | 55¢ · -122 | $56 | −24 |
| 2026-09-23 | LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | SU Esports | exited | 52¢ · -108 | $34 | +0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Dota 2: Two Move vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 3.5
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
Spread: Packers (-7.5)
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in August?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Trump renames AI by September 30?
| Two Move |
| won |
| 65¢ · -186 |
| $72 |
| +37 |
| 2026-09-23 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | LGD Gaming | won | 77¢ · -335 | $116 | +35 |
| 2026-09-23 | LoL: FENNEL vs Cupid Esports (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Cesports · moneyline | Cupid Esports | won | 65¢ · -186 | $50 | +26 |
| 2026-09-23 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group Cesports · moneyline | 100 Thieves | won | 78¢ · -355 | $158 | +42 |
| 2026-09-23 | KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlhockey · moneyline | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | won | 76¢ · -315 | $154 | +48 |
| 2026-09-23 | Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | 1win | won | 63¢ · -170 | $192 | +108 |
| 2026-09-23 | Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group Cesports · moneyline | fnatic | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $42 | −42 |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 44¢ · +127 | $30 | +37 |
| 2026-09-22 | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffsesports · moneyline | Inner Circle Esports | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-09-22 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffsesports · moneyline | B8 | exited | 61¢ · -160 | $140 | −99 |
| 2026-09-22 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora | won | 57¢ · -133 | $88 | +63 |
| 2026-09-22 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora | won | 49¢ · +104 | $55 | +55 |
| 2026-09-22 | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BBL - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Heroic | won | 72¢ · -257 | $56 | +21 |
| 2026-09-22 | Singapore Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Anna-Lena Friedsamtennis · moneyline | Anna-Lena Friedsam | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-22 | Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $71 | −71 |
| 2026-09-22 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 44¢ · +127 | $35 | +42 |
| 2026-09-22 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Natus Vincere | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $212 | −212 |
| 2026-09-22 | Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Cobra | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-09-22 | Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Non-sports | Yes | won | 41¢ · +144 | $34 | +46 |
| 2026-09-22 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Non-sports | Yes | won | 82¢ · -456 | $81 | +17 |
| 2026-09-22 | Giants vs. Rams: O/U 37.5football · totals | Under | won | 42¢ · +138 | $65 | +91 |
| 2026-09-22 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 50¢ · -100 | $34 | +34 |
| 2026-09-21 | Game Handicap: USE (-1.5) vs The Otter Side (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | won | 81¢ · -426 | $52 | +12 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dominica vs. Anguilla · Spread Dominica (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Anguilla | won | 72¢ · -257 | $146 | +54 |
| 2026-09-21 | Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5)esports · map handicap | UCAM Esports Club | won | 80¢ · -400 | $56 | +13 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Team Yandex | won | 63¢ · -170 | $83 | +47 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | LGD Gaming | exited | 53¢ · -113 | $206 | −32 |
| 2026-09-21 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageesports · moneyline | G2 Ares | won | 74¢ · -285 | $84 | +30 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | PlayTime | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $44 | −44 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | LGD Gaming | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $72 | −72 |
| 2026-09-21 | Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageesports · moneyline | Black Phoenix | lost | 73¢ · -270 | $54 | −54 |
| 2026-09-21 | Ankara: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Polina Iatcenkotennis · moneyline | Polina Iatcenko | won | 86¢ · -614 | $208 | +34 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline | 1win | exited | 44¢ · +127 | $162 | −67 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Conventus Stellarum | exited | 51¢ · -105 | $77 | +5 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Nemesis | won | 42¢ · +138 | $164 | +215 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Team Nemesis | won | 63¢ · -170 | $47 | +27 |
| 2026-09-21 | LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Cesports · moneyline | Dplus KIA Challengers | won | 75¢ · -300 | $49 | +15 |
| 2026-09-21 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group Aesports · moneyline | Astralis | won | 77¢ · -335 | $96 | +27 |
| 2026-09-20 | Genoa 2 (Doubles): Kalender/Serdarusic vs Broska/Oradinitennis · moneyline | Kalender/Serdarusic | push | 51¢ · -104 | $42 | −1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 67¢ · -200 | $603 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 38.5football · totals | Over | exited | 48¢ · +108 | $72 | −62 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Vikings (-3.5)football · spreads | Bears | exited | 77¢ · -335 | $95 | −73 |
| 2026-09-20 | Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stageesports · moneyline | BakS eSports | won | 79¢ · -367 | $399 | +23 |
| 2026-09-20 | Packers vs. Jetsfootball · moneyline | Packers | exited | 58¢ · -140 | $816 | −385 |
| 2026-09-20 | Panthers vs. Falcons · Spread Panthers (-9.5)football · spreads | Falcons | exited | 74¢ · -285 | $184 | −94 |
| 2026-09-20 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffsesports · moneyline | Vitality | won | 69¢ · -227 | $137 | +45 |
| 2026-09-20 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 43¢ · +133 | $31 | +38 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 46¢ · +117 | $60 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Non-sports | No | exited | 45¢ · +122 | $35 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 23¢ · +336 | $91 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+2.5)esports · map handicap | Aurora Gaming | won | 53¢ · -113 | $73 | +61 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Natus Vincere | won | 52¢ · -108 | $47 | +44 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Natus Vincere | won | 74¢ · -281 | $84 | +28 |
| 2026-09-20 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsesports · moneyline | G2 Esports | won | 70¢ · -233 | $81 | +35 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 45¢ · +122 | $59 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $38 | −38 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 73¢ · -270 | $148 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC · Spread Manchester City FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Manchester City FC | exited | 48¢ · +108 | $49 | −17 |
| 2026-09-20 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $34 | −34 |
| 2026-09-20 | Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 53¢ · -113 | $33 | −22 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Pipsqueak+4 | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $255 | −163 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Non-sports | No | won | 82¢ · -452 | $105 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5soccer · soccer team totals | Under | won | 90¢ · -900 | $53 | +6 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 84¢ · -525 | $79 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffsesports · moneyline | Vitality | won | 67¢ · -203 | $64 | +30 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | LGD Gaming | won | 65¢ · -186 | $251 | +128 |
| 2026-09-20 | LoL: Fuego vs EDward Gaming Youth Team (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Aesports · moneyline | EDward Gaming Youth Team | won | 83¢ · -488 | $166 | +34 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Xtreme Gaming | won | 55¢ · -122 | $66 | +52 |
| 2026-09-20 | Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5)esports · map handicap | 1win | won | 78¢ · -355 | $54 | +15 |
| 2026-09-20 | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 50¢ · -100 | $42 | +40 |
| 2026-09-19 | Maple Leafs vs. Canadienshockey · moneyline | Maple Leafs | exited | 52¢ · -108 | $138 | −83 |
| 2026-09-19 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 50¢ · -100 | $34 | +33 |
| 2026-09-19 | Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 46¢ · +117 | $32 | +35 |
| 2026-09-19 | San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 47¢ · +113 | $33 | +36 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Joshua Van | won | 58¢ · -138 | $348 | +252 |
| 2026-09-19 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | won | 79¢ · -376 | $53 | +13 |
| 2026-09-19 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Robelis Despaigne | won | 80¢ · -400 | $65 | +15 |
| 2026-09-19 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Karmine Corp | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $64 | −64 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group Besports · moneyline | Spirit Academy | won | 50¢ · -100 | $127 | +127 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Non-sports | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $182 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Vitality | won | 69¢ · -223 | $52 | +22 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora | won | 68¢ · -212 | $100 | +45 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora | exited | 73¢ · -273 | $282 | −194 |
| 2026-09-19 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | 3DMAX | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $41 | −41 |
| 2026-09-19 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsesports · moneyline | Karmine Corp | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $69 | −69 |
| 2026-09-19 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffsesports · moneyline | Vitality | lost | 76¢ · -317 | $89 | −89 |
| 2026-09-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: SC Freiburg O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Under | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $48 | −48 |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $32 | −32 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Conventus Stellarum | won | 77¢ · -337 | $365 | +103 |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Under | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $74 | −74 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $59 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Invictus Gaming | won | 54¢ · -117 | $43 | +35 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Pibbles Corp - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Xtreme Gaming | won | 84¢ · -525 | $320 | +58 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Non-sports | No | exited | 78¢ · -355 | $213 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffsesports · moneyline | 3DMAX | won | 46¢ · +117 | $53 | +59 |