Public evidence record
simpson10
0x68e1e8efcb71c80906e87ca24107721846d4b2fa
Record anatomy
Know what this profile can prove.
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.
Sample-adjusted return
+8.5%263 settled positionsClosing line value
Insufficient sample8 pre-event fillsBeat the close
Insufficient sample8 pre-event fillsSettlement record
156-107Wins · losses · pushes95% confidence interval on return: +0.0% to +17.0%
263 settled positions · 2,087 taker fills · $127,793 deployed
Closing line value measured over 8 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.
Position log
Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.
| Settled | Outcome | Entry (implied) | Cost | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | won | 95% · -1900 | $407 | +21 |
| 2026-08-07 | won | 97% · -3233 | $97 | +3 |
| 2026-08-07 | lost | 55% · -122 | $0 | −0 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 76% · -317 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 77% · -335 | $94 | −94 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 51% · -104 | $126 | −126 |
| 2026-08-06 | lost | 49% · +104 | $252 | −252 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 34% · +194 | $0 | +0 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 27% · +270 | $1 | +4 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 40% · +150 | $83 | +124 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 61% · -156 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 84% · -526 | $62 | +12 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 80% · -400 | $3 | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 78% · -355 | $44 | +12 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 67% · -203 | $615 | −615 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 53% · -113 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 27% · +270 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 10% · +900 | $33 | −33 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 97% · -3233 | $497 | +15 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 23% · +335 | $42 | −42 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 37% · +170 | $7 | +13 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 66% · -194 | $4 | +2 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 72% · -257 | $22 | +8 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 83% · -488 | $454 | +93 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 45% · +124 | $66 | −66 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 21% · +383 | $168 | −168 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 69% · -223 | $21 | +9 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 73% · -268 | $82 | +31 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 77% · -335 | $75 | +22 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 48% · +108 | $14 | −14 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 75% · -300 | $28 | +9 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 39% · +156 | $393 | +615 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 59% · -143 | $85 | +60 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 18% · +456 | $46 | −46 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 37% · +170 | $0 | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 30% · +239 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 91% · -953 | $1,470 | +154 |
| 2026-08-05 | won | 47% · +113 | $138 | +156 |
| 2026-08-05 | lost | 63% · -171 | $1,562 | −1,562 |
| 2026-08-04 | won | 37% · +172 | $6 | +10 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 39% · +156 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 15% · +567 | $123 | −123 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 21% · +376 | $189 | −189 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 71% · -245 | $14 | −14 |
| 2026-08-04 | lost | 36% · +178 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-08-02 | won | 58% · -138 | $6 | +4 |
| 2026-08-01 | lost | 17% · +488 | $24 | −24 |
| 2026-08-01 | won | 75% · -306 | $423 | +138 |
| 2026-07-31 | won | 56% · -127 | $6 | +4 |
| 2026-07-29 | lost | 37% · +170 | $4 | −4 |
| 2026-07-27 | lost | 54% · -117 | $217 | −217 |
| 2026-07-27 | lost | 8% · +1170 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-07-26 | lost | 12% · +705 | $23 | −23 |
| 2026-07-26 | lost | 75% · -302 | $594 | −594 |
| 2026-07-26 | lost | 56% · -130 | $622 | −622 |
| 2026-07-26 | won | 73% · -270 | $1,651 | +611 |
| 2026-07-26 | won | 50% · -100 | $1 | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | won | 61% · -155 | $575 | +372 |
| 2026-07-26 | lost | 52% · -109 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-07-26 | won | 31% · +220 | $158 | +348 |
| 2026-07-26 | won | 58% · -138 | $138 | +100 |
| 2026-07-26 | lost | 5% · +1860 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-07-26 | won | 40% · +153 | $21 | +31 |
| 2026-07-26 | won | 71% · -244 | $50 | +21 |
| 2026-07-26 | lost | 52% · -110 | $282 | −282 |
| 2026-07-26 | won | 89% · -809 | $87 | +11 |
| 2026-07-26 | won | 81% · -432 | $547 | +127 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 41% · +143 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 50% · -100 | $32 | +32 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 54% · -118 | $182 | +154 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 13% · +669 | $71 | −71 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 48% · +107 | $441 | +471 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 39% · +158 | $297 | −297 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 49% · +104 | $2 | +3 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 37% · +170 | $0 | −0 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 44% · +127 | $9 | +11 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 63% · -170 | $491 | +288 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 41% · +142 | $8 | −8 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 22% · +353 | $17 | −17 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 39% · +157 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 63% · -169 | $400 | +237 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 35% · +189 | $110 | +207 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 65% · -190 | $431 | −431 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 34% · +191 | $77 | −77 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 53% · -115 | $519 | +452 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 94% · -1446 | $20 | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 53% · -114 | $873 | −873 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 47% · +114 | $226 | −226 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 47% · +113 | $48 | +54 |
| 2026-07-25 | lost | 48% · +109 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 40% · +152 | $297 | +451 |
| 2026-07-25 | won | 46% · +118 | $59 | +69 |
| 2026-07-24 | won | 71% · -245 | $5 | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | lost | 49% · +103 | $249 | −249 |
| 2026-07-24 | won | 31% · +223 | $4 | +8 |
| 2026-07-24 | lost | 34% · +194 | $17 | −17 |
| 2026-07-24 | won | 95% · -1823 | $19 | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | lost | 31% · +223 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-07-24 | lost | 32% · +212 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-07-24 | won | 71% · -250 | $299 | +119 |