Public evidence record

simpson10

0x68e1e8efcb71c80906e87ca24107721846d4b2fa

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+0.6%1,962 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+4.5%$457,303 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.66%38 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1109-853Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−66.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,962 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -3.8% to +5.0%

1,962 closed positions · 2,910 taker fills · $457,303 deployed

Typical position $45 (median) · closing line value measured over 38 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis1,493 closed840–653+0.3%
Baseball253 closed129–124-7.0%
Soccer126 closed81–45+2.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-10	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodartennis · moneyline	Rafael Jodar	won	44¢ · +127	$226	+274
2026-10-09	China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatektennis · moneyline	Elise Mertens	won	60¢ · -150	$490	+311
2026-10-09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Ferytennis · moneyline	Karen Khachanov	won	72¢ · -259	$750	+276
2026-10-09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobollitennis · moneyline	Adrian Mannarino	won