value$49
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 22?
No
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Public evidence record
0x6ac316ddb36938accaddf5a3b34075588ba73c8b
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-2.3%548 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.0%$20,221 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.02%170 pre-event fillsSettlement record
458-58-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−12.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 548 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.1% to +0.5%
548 closed positions · 997 taker fills · $20,221 deployed
Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 170 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 22?
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 22?
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 22?
Tappara Tampere vs. Karpat Oulu
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 74 sports · 26 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -49900 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Singapore Open: Kyoka Okamura vs Leylah Fernandeztennis · moneyline | Leylah Fernandez | won | 99¢ · -11011 | $50 | +0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
| No |
| won |
| 96¢ · -2400 |
| $30 |
| — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 99¢ · -7043 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC Spartak Trnava win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -5163 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sunbasketball · moneyline | Minnesota Lynx | won | 99¢ · -6855 | $60 | +1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Clara Bureltennis · moneyline | Clara Burel | won | 84¢ · -525 | $50 | +9 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -2766 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC Seoul win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 89¢ · -809 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 95¢ · -1983 | $60 | +3 |
| 2026-09-20 | Purdue vs. UCLAfootball · moneyline | UCLA | won | 98¢ · -6150 | $20 | +0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Singapore Open, Qualification: Nao Hibino vs Aoi Itotennis · moneyline | Nao Hibino | won | 75¢ · -300 | $81 | +26 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 19?Non-sports | No | exited | 99¢ · -16567 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Gable Steveson | lost | 93¢ · -1329 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-09-19 | Molde FK vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $20 | +0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -4951 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 84¢ · -525 | $25 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will AS Trenčín win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 89¢ · -809 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 97¢ · -3471 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 99¢ · -16567 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 94¢ · -1567 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ljubljana: Mona Barthel vs Noemi Basilettitennis · moneyline | Mona Barthel | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $40 | +2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 100¢ · -19900 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Korea Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Rina Saigotennis · moneyline | Alevtina Ibragimova | won | 98¢ · -6150 | $50 | +1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Singapore Open, Qualification: Nika Radisic vs Viktoria Morvayovatennis · moneyline | Viktoria Morvayova | won | 100¢ · -26009 | $60 | +0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 19?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -19900 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?Non-sports | No | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?Non-sports | Yes | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $30 | +2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Singapore Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Ellen Pereztennis · moneyline | Joanna Garland | won | 98¢ · -6150 | $30 | +0 |
| 2026-09-18 | FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $30 | +2 |
| 2026-09-18 | FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 96¢ · -2757 | $30 | +1 |
| 2026-09-18 | Sao Paulo Open: Anna Blinkova vs Alina Charaevatennis · moneyline | Anna Blinkova | won | 90¢ · -900 | $10 | +1 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Solihull Moors FC win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 90¢ · -900 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $60 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Non-sports | No | won | 99¢ · -14186 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 18?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -64452 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 18?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -49900 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 18?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -26587 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 100¢ · -24900 | $15 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | won | 100¢ · -24900 | $10 | +0 |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $30 | +1 |
| 2026-09-17 | Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 69¢ · -223 | $20 | +9 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 97¢ · -3348 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungellititennis · moneyline | Filip Pieczonka | lost | 85¢ · -567 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-09-17 | Valencia: Nastasja Schunk vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelatennis · moneyline | Irene Burillo Escorihuela | won | 99¢ · -6779 | $20 | +0 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 17?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -33233 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -99900 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Guangzhou: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Naoya Hondatennis · moneyline | Petr Bar Biryukov | won | 96¢ · -2339 | $20 | +1 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 17?Non-sports | No | lost | 99¢ · -11515 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 17?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -49900 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 17?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -33233 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 81¢ · -426 | $37 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 100¢ · -19900 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Sao Paulo Open: Anna Blinkova vs Carol Young Suh Leetennis · moneyline | Anna Blinkova | won | 99¢ · -14185 | $5 | +0 |
| 2026-09-16 | Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmotennis · moneyline | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | won | 97¢ · -3348 | $60 | +2 |
| 2026-09-16 | Sao Paulo Open: Suzan Lamens vs Carolina M. Alvestennis · moneyline | Suzan Lamens | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $40 | +0 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 16?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -99900 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on September 16?Non-sports | No | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on September 16?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -49900 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 16?Non-sports | No | won | 99¢ · -8233 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 16?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -49900 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Ljubljana: Weronika Falkowska vs Laura Samsontennis · moneyline | Laura Samson | won | 97¢ · -3126 | $40 | +1 |
| 2026-09-16 | Ljubljana: Miriam Bulgaru vs Mia Ristictennis · moneyline | Mia Ristic | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $50 | +3 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -3946 | $60 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 98¢ · -6150 | $40 | +1 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $29 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 84¢ · -525 | $20 | +4 |
| 2026-09-15 | West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 83¢ · -488 | $61 | +12 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 99¢ · -12400 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $50 | +1 |
| 2026-09-14 | Will IK Sirius win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 100¢ · -35175 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $15 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 14?Non-sports | No | exited | 100¢ · -38382 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 88¢ · -733 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 77¢ · -335 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 14?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -21923 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on September 14?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -99900 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 14?Non-sports | No | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on September 14?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -24900 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 14?Non-sports | No | won | 99¢ · -13581 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will PSV win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 99¢ · -11011 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltontennis · moneyline | Alexander Zverev | won | 75¢ · -300 | $101 | +32 |
| 2026-09-10 | Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 90¢ · -900 | $27 | +3 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 10?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -49900 | $33 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: Manchester United FC O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $30 | +3 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $41 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 96¢ · -2757 | $30 | +1 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-10?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 89¢ · -809 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | T20 Asia Cup, Women: India vs Bangladeshsoccer · moneyline | India | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $25 | +2 |
| 2026-09-10 | ILT20 Continent Cup: Uganda vs Botswanasoccer · moneyline | Uganda | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $30 | +0 |