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Public evidence record
0x6c59d136ed617f45dfc40b7739362b8584d2ad51
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-3.9%302 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-0.1%$24,683 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.88%257 pre-event fillsSettlement record
128-146-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−19.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 302 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.9% to +5.1%
302 closed positions · 594 taker fills · $24,683 deployed
Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 257 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 82 sports · 18 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Athletics | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-08 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread New York Yankees (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Colorado Rockies | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-08-23 | KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eaglesbaseball · moneyline | Hanwha Eagles | lost | 43¢ · +134 | $33 | −33 |
| 2026-08-23 | Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers |
| Yokohama BayStars |
| lost |
| 44¢ · +127 |
| $35 |
| −35 |
| 2026-08-23 | Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigersbaseball · moneyline | Yokohama BayStars | exited | 59¢ · -144 | $54 | −18 |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-22?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $29 | — |
| 2026-08-21 | Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Nippon Ham Fightersbaseball · moneyline | Chiba Lotte Marines | won | 38¢ · +163 | $34 | +53 |
| 2026-08-21 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Saitama Seibu Lionsbaseball · moneyline | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $34 | −34 |
| 2026-08-21 | Chunichi Dragons vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallowsbaseball · moneyline | Chunichi Dragons | won | 64¢ · -178 | $34 | +18 |
| 2026-08-19 | Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Toronto Blue Jays | won | 54¢ · -117 | $25 | +20 |
| 2026-08-19 | San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbaseball · moneyline | New York Mets | won | 44¢ · +127 | $26 | +31 |
| 2026-08-18 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays | won | 45¢ · +122 | $23 | +27 |
| 2026-08-18 | San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · moneyline | San Francisco Giants | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $23 | −23 |
| 2026-08-15 | Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-08-14 | Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $16 | — |
| 2026-08-12 | Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Angels | won | 44¢ · +127 | $20 | +25 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 67¢ · -203 | $20 | +10 |
| 2026-08-12 | Will Manchester United win on 2026-08-12?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 49¢ · +104 | $21 | — |
| 2026-08-12 | Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Athletics | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-08-11 | Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Angels | won | 43¢ · +133 | $21 | +26 |
| 2026-08-11 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | won | 45¢ · +122 | $21 | +24 |
| 2026-08-11 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Kansas City Royals | won | 47¢ · +113 | $10 | +11 |
| 2026-08-10 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Boston Red Sox (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Toronto Blue Jays | won | 55¢ · -122 | $10 | +8 |
| 2026-08-09 | Liverpool FC vs. AS Monaco · Spread Liverpool FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | AS Monaco | won | 56¢ · -127 | $10 | +8 |
| 2026-08-08 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion win on 2026-08-08?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 42¢ · +138 | $10 | — |
| 2026-08-08 | Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eaglesbaseball · moneyline | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | won | 36¢ · +178 | $10 | +17 |
| 2026-08-06 | Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Angels | won | 52¢ · -108 | $10 | +9 |
| 2026-08-03 | Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eaglesbaseball · moneyline | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-07-07 | Combo: Argentina — Spread: Argentina (-1.5) + Portugal — Spread: Spain (-1.5) + Morocco — Spread: France (-1.5) + Yes — Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? + Yes — Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?soccer · combo | — | lost | 4¢ · +2532 | $17 | −17 |
| 2026-07-06 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Angels | exited | 20¢ · +400 | $19 | −2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 31¢ · +223 | $6 | +13 |
| 2026-07-06 | Spread: England (-1.5)soccer · spreads | England | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $10 | −4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 19¢ · +438 | $5 | +6 |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $144 | −140 |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia vs. Ghana · Spread Colombia (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Colombia | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $58 | −20 |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Argentina | won | 69¢ · -221 | $9 | −0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?soccer · soccer penalty shootout | No | won | 42¢ · +138 | $9 | +12 |
| 2026-07-04 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +4811 | $5 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +4469 | $5 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 86¢ · -614 | $700 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland vs. Algeria · Spread Switzerland (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Algeria | won | 87¢ · -646 | $713 | +107 |
| 2026-07-02 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 84¢ · -515 | $600 | — |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Spain | won | 86¢ · -627 | $594 | +92 |
| 2026-07-02 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina · Spread United States (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Bosnia and Herzegovina | won | 90¢ · -900 | $520 | +55 |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium vs. Senegal · Spread Senegal (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Belgium | exited | 93¢ · -1329 | $567 | +41 |
| 2026-07-01 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $540 | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico vs. Ecuador · Spread Mexico (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Ecuador | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $485 | −38 |
| 2026-06-30 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $458 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway · Spread Norway (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Côte d'Ivoire | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $423 | +36 |
| 2026-06-30 | Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Morocco | won | 82¢ · -456 | $268 | +57 |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Paraguay | won | 21¢ · +376 | $20 | +6 |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany vs. Paraguay · Spread Germany (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Paraguay | won | 89¢ · -809 | $198 | +23 |
| 2026-06-28 | Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline | San Francisco Giants | won | 89¢ · -809 | $362 | +6 |
| 2026-06-28 | Spread: Canada (-2.5)soccer · spreads | South Africa | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $331 | +31 |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan vs. Argentina · Spread Argentina (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Jordan | won | 78¢ · -355 | $239 | +65 |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia vs. Portugal · Spread Portugal (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Colombia | won | 73¢ · -270 | $176 | +63 |
| 2026-06-27 | Will England win on 2026-06-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 83¢ · -493 | $151 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | Combo: Belgium — Spread: Belgium (-1.5) + Yes — Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? + Yes — Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? + Yes — Will France win on 2026-06-26?soccer · combo | — | lost | 13¢ · +681 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-06-27 | Combo: Belgium — Spread: Belgium (-1.5) + Yes — Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? + Yes — Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? + Yes — Will England win on 2026-06-27? + Yes — Will France win on 2026-06-26?soccer · combo | — | lost | 11¢ · +801 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 82¢ · -456 | $62 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $56 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 89¢ · -809 | $55 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 78¢ · -355 | $49 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $10 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Japan vs. Sweden · Spread Japan (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Sweden | won | 74¢ · -287 | $44 | +15 |
| 2026-06-26 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 22¢ · +359 | $10 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 6¢ · +1673 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | Tunisia vs. Netherlands · Spread Netherlands (-4.5)soccer · spreads | Tunisia | won | 65¢ · -186 | $10 | +2 |
| 2026-06-25 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 89¢ · -809 | $11 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador vs. Germany · Spread Germany (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Ecuador | won | 88¢ · -755 | $62 | +7 |
| 2026-06-25 | Combo: South Africa — Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) + Czechia — Spread: Mexico (-1.5) + Yes — Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?soccer · combo | — | lost | 56¢ · -126 | $4 | −4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 72¢ · -257 | $92 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 88¢ · -733 | $81 | — |
| 2026-06-23 | England vs. Ghana · Spread England (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Ghana | won | 62¢ · -163 | $57 | +34 |
| 2026-06-23 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 86¢ · -614 | $123 | — |
| 2026-06-21 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 71¢ · -245 | $48 | — |
| 2026-06-20 | Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Sweden | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-06-20 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 89¢ · -809 | $315 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland vs. Morocco · Spread Morocco (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Scotland | won | 71¢ · -245 | $226 | +89 |
| 2026-06-19 | Spread: United States (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Australia | won | 82¢ · -456 | $186 | +40 |
| 2026-06-19 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 77¢ · -335 | $147 | — |
| 2026-06-18 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 77¢ · -335 | $114 | — |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina · Spread Switzerland (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Switzerland | won | 33¢ · +203 | $38 | +75 |
| 2026-06-18 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 63¢ · -170 | $40 | — |
| 2026-06-18 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 28¢ · +257 | $11 | — |
| 2026-06-13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $1 | −0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 51¢ · -104 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 54¢ · -117 | $1 | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 51¢ · -104 | $1 | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 32¢ · +212 | $1 | +2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $1 | +1 |