Public evidence record

0x6e8d…3a3d

0x6e8d817d50e7838e759873e1914d059c3ac03a3d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.9%2,209 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.4%$136,644 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-3.77%971 pre-event fills

Settlement record

904-1142-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−79.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,209 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.0% to -2.8%

2,209 closed positions · 3,746 taker fills · $136,644 deployed

Typical position $41 (median) · closing line value measured over 971 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$1339

Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?

Yes

entry 34¢ · +194now 44¢ · +130+9.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer737 closed341–363-5.4%
Esports668 closed246–364-8.2%
Basketball492 closed179–255–1-5.6%
Tennis163 closed61–92–2-12.4%
Baseball129 closed65–60-3.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Set 1 Winner: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paultennis · tennis first set winner	Ben Shelton	won	47¢ · +113	$41	+44
2026-11-06	Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Ben Shelton (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap	Ben Shelton	won	68¢ · -212	$102	+45
2026-11-06	Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 5.5soccer · totals	Under	won	83¢ · -495	$140	+27
2026-11-06	Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Sydney FC 1st Half O/U 0.5