Public evidence record

Airmax88

0x7106424780ab72c0cf4dfd4d48d63fa811f11caa

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-21.4%527 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-8.1%$132,211 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.80%72 pre-event fills

Settlement record

128-366Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−76.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 527 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -30.3% to -12.5%

527 closed positions · 1,275 taker fills · $132,211 deployed

Typical position $225 (median) · closing line value measured over 72 pre-event fills · 5% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

9 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$2

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

Yes

entry 0¢now 0¢−0.0 pts

Open

value$43

Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes

entry 1¢ · +7774now 1¢−0.7 pts

Open

value$117

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes

entry 2¢ · +3998now 3¢ · +3409+0.4 pts

Open

value$148

Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes

entry 4¢ · +2458now 4¢ · +2497−0.1 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

multi sport236 closed46–189-21.3%
Basketball125 closed42–67-5.3%
Baseball115 closed34–68-8.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 67 sports · 33 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Combo: Golden State Valkyries — Portland Fire vs. Golden State Valkyries + Pittsburgh Pirates — Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates + Cleveland Guardians — Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians + Chiefs — Colts vs. Chiefs + Indiana Fever — Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempomulti sport · combo	—	won	24¢ · +314	$275	+822
2026-09-21	Combo: Saints — Saints vs. Ravens + Colts — Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · combo	—	lost	6¢ · +1487	$65	−65
2026-09-21	Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline	Colts	lost	45¢ · +120	$200	−200