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Public evidence record
0x725e4c6190ee03f7658bb23842a8f7a0b58ab679
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-0.4%2,816 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-0.3%$258,331 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
Insufficient sample26 pre-event fillsSettlement record
2768-21-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−2.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,816 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -0.7% to -0.1%
2,816 closed positions · 2,916 taker fills · $258,331 deployed
Typical position $75 (median) · closing line value measured over 26 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 0 sports · 100 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 75¢ · -300 | $8 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 85¢ · -567 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 83¢ · -488 | $4 | −4 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET |
| Down |
| lost |
| 49¢ · +104 |
| $3 |
| −3 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 78¢ · -355 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $5 | +0 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $5 | +0 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 83¢ · -488 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 63¢ · -170 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 73¢ · -270 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 66¢ · -194 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 81¢ · -413 | $8 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $5 | +0 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 63¢ · -170 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 75¢ · -292 | $8 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 69¢ · -223 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 62¢ · -164 | $7 | +4 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 16¢ · +545 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 85¢ · -582 | $13 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $5 | +0 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 74¢ · -292 | $8 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 64¢ · -174 | $7 | +3 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 73¢ · -270 | $11 | +4 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $5 | +0 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 81¢ · -436 | $12 | +3 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $5 | +0 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 17¢ · +488 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 17¢ · +489 | $8 | −8 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 86¢ · -632 | $13 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 64¢ · -178 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 72¢ · -257 | $4 | −4 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 58¢ · -138 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 82¢ · -456 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 6¢ · +1567 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $9 | +1 |
| 2026-09-29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +10 |
| 2026-09-29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +9 |
| 2026-09-29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +2 |
| 2026-09-29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +15 |
| 2026-09-29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +3 |
| 2026-09-29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +5 |
| 2026-09-29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +9 |
| 2026-09-29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +10 |
| 2026-09-29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +5 |
| 2026-09-29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +3 |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 29?Non-sports | No | won | 46¢ · +117 | $9 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 29?Non-sports | No | won | 64¢ · -178 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 29?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 49¢ · +104 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?Non-sports | No | exited | 48¢ · +108 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29?Non-sports | No | exited | 60¢ · -147 | $24 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 29?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 29¢ · +245 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 29?Non-sports | No | exited | 43¢ · +133 | $17 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?Non-sports | No | won | 43¢ · +130 | $9 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 29?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 49¢ · +104 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 49¢ · +104 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 29?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 34¢ · +194 | $7 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 29?Non-sports | No | exited | 70¢ · -233 | $14 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +42 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +5 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +41 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +22 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +32 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +68 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +62 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +31 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +4 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +8 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +2 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +43 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +9 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +2 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +56 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +43 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +40 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +44 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +35 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +20 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +47 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +90 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +100 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +36 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +16 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +1 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +51 |
| 2026-09-24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +46 |
| 2026-09-23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +53 |
| 2026-09-23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +48 |
| 2026-09-23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +28 |
| 2026-09-23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +18 |
| 2026-09-23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | — | $0 | +73 |
| 2026-09-23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | — | $0 | +79 |