Public evidence record

ruben899889

0x73533101b2276cd08ec3d281f81bfc6b86944b0d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.3%201 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.2%$126,375 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.37%281 pre-event fills

Settlement record

87-66Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−13.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 201 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.4% to +5.7%

201 closed positions · 427 taker fills · $126,375 deployed

Typical position $421 (median) · closing line value measured over 281 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball162 closed74–56-2.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-23	Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics · Spread Washington Mystics (-17.5)basketball · spreads	Connecticut Sun	exited	51¢ · -104	$1,123	+1,004
2026-09-22	Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5basketball · totals	Over	won	58¢ · -137	$1,532	+1,061
2026-09-22	Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever · Spread Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)basketball · spreads	Indiana Fever	won	63¢ · -170	$1,861	+1,039
2026-09-22