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Public evidence record
0x741889695931a255adbdba0b0d169c17e7ac251f
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
+6.2%1,200 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
+1.2%$510,116 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
+2.45%70 pre-event fillsSettlement record
349-33Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−13.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,200 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: +4.0% to +8.5%
1,200 closed positions · 6,266 taker fills · $510,116 deployed
Typical position $145 (median) · closing line value measured over 70 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 91¢ · -1049 | $150 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1873 | $245 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 61¢ · -160 | $306 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 95¢ · -1835 |
| $100 |
| — |
| 2026-09-20 | Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 98¢ · -4900 | $20 | +0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 64¢ · -179 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will US Lecce win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3863 | $100 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 99¢ · -9900 | $100 | −26 |
| 2026-09-20 | Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 99¢ · -9900 | $100 | +1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -177 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 63¢ · -170 | $131 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | SC Paderborn 07 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 99¢ · -9900 | $100 | +1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 79¢ · -367 | $101 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 87¢ · -669 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | exited | 90¢ · -916 | $64 | +6 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 43¢ · +133 | $22 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 96¢ · -2400 | $16 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 80¢ · -400 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 95¢ · -2022 | $100 | +5 |
| 2026-09-20 | OGC Nice vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 98¢ · -4900 | $100 | +2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 98¢ · -4900 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 77¢ · -332 | $101 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 98¢ · -4900 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 99¢ · -9900 | $100 | −0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 90¢ · -915 | $151 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -4842 | $150 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 7.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 84¢ · -525 | $101 | +18 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 96¢ · -2280 | $100 | +4 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 77¢ · -335 | $39 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 98¢ · -4865 | $100 | +2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 94¢ · -1438 | $13 | −0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Frosinone Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 99¢ · -9900 | $49 | +0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 98¢ · -4900 | $95 | +2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 97¢ · -3233 | $18 | +0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 35¢ · +188 | $393 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 84¢ · -545 | $403 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 82¢ · -442 | $202 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Málaga CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -125 | $204 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 98¢ · -4900 | $157 | −42 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -6534 | $200 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will SC Internacional win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -3920 | $200 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 75¢ · -308 | $202 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | CA River Plate vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 91¢ · -1011 | $6 | +1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will CA River Plate win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 93¢ · -1311 | $201 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 86¢ · -595 | $379 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 96¢ · -2757 | $12 | +0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 91¢ · -955 | $263 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 93¢ · -1434 | $221 | +12 |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 96¢ · -2400 | $10 | +0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 98¢ · -4195 | $300 | +6 |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 98¢ · -4900 | $412 | +4 |
| 2026-09-19 | Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 99¢ · -9900 | $183 | −0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 71¢ · -249 | $811 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 92¢ · -1225 | $803 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Udinese Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 93¢ · -1329 | $131 | +8 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 59¢ · -143 | $408 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 89¢ · -809 | $402 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 82¢ · -456 | $404 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 63¢ · -168 | $815 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 67¢ · -203 | $813 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 97¢ · -3054 | $801 | +24 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 80¢ · -394 | $970 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 91¢ · -1009 | $79 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 79¢ · -376 | $808 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 79¢ · -368 | $404 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 54¢ · -117 | $205 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 58¢ · -135 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 99¢ · -9900 | $50 | +0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $205 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Bologna FC 1909 vs. Torino FC: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 97¢ · -3233 | $32 | +1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Torino FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 77¢ · -332 | $202 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 98¢ · -4900 | $387 | +7 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 54¢ · -115 | $740 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 83¢ · -485 | $403 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 60¢ · -147 | $408 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 6¢ · +1450 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $587 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 7.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 97¢ · -3220 | $601 | −601 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will AC Monza win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 88¢ · -769 | $402 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $200 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 99¢ · -9900 | $39 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 98¢ · -4900 | $69 | −7 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 74¢ · -283 | $203 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 24¢ · +317 | $11 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 99¢ · -9900 | $104 | +1 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $100 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Liverpool LFC win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 63¢ · -170 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 92¢ · -1150 | $29 | +1 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 82¢ · -457 | $101 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 99¢ · -9900 | $100 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-09?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $200 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Fleetwood Town FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 94¢ · -1567 | $21 | −9 |
| 2026-09-16 | Fleetwood Town FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | exited | 96¢ · -2208 | $56 | −36 |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 99¢ · -9900 | $600 | +5 |
| 2026-09-16 | Coventry City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 98¢ · -4900 | $44 | +1 |
| 2026-09-16 | Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 98¢ · -4445 | $200 | +4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 93¢ · -1329 | $95 | — |